Bid Check with my reno → — your rehab, stressed Bid $
Street locked · 79912 | $624,999 Flip Analysis — FlipScout
Ask
$624,999
$171/sqft
Bid $
$478,833
Max bid / MAO
Room
~$146,166 over max bid · 23% of ask
vs max bid
Verdict
WALK
Pass at list
Rehab
$107,407
$29/sqft
ARV
$555,114

Clearance (C) — bid physics. C = Bid $ ÷ Ask. We don't mint fake CLEARS. CLEARS · BID TARGET · WALK

Free: tape numbers + 3 Bid Checks/mo. Pro $15/mo: unlimited Bid Checks · streets + Deal Architecture.

Deal Architecture · Pro

Bid $ $478,833 · Ask $624,999

Walk-away max bid is free above — same math as the Bid/Pass Tape. Live waterfall, health, controls, and rehab bands unlock with Pro. We do not show a hollow OUR EDGE with empty dashes.

Flip math

Value-add ARV

ARV = adjusted list + (rehab × 1.5) · zip avm

Implied ARV $/sqft
Subject sqft3653 sqft
ARV$555,114
List− $624,999
Rehab− $107,407
Gross profit$-177,292

Contextual market baseline

Sold comps for neighborhood context — not the ARV formula · 3 sales · last 6 mo · zip 79912

Street locked · 79912 · SINGLE_FAMILY $675,000 · 3360 sqft
Street locked · 79912 · SINGLE_FAMILY $760,000 · 4008 sqft
Street locked · 79912 · SINGLE_FAMILY $664,745 · 3296 sqft

Net pro forma

Includes closing costs & 4.34-month carry

Buy closing (2%)$12,500
Holding carry$29,138
All-in capital$774,044
Sell costs (6%)− $33,307
Net proceeds$521,808
Net profit $-61,389
Photo triage & rehab band

Condition triage

Library estimate

No contractor assessment on file for this listing.

ML baseline rehab: $107,407

Baseline notes

Investor scope checklist

  • Kitchen cabinets/counters are primary value-add
  • Flooring and paint drive resale perception
  • Exterior curb appeal strongly impacts ARV
  • Mechanicals assumed functional; verify on inspection

Renovation budget

Total: $107,407
Kitchen — Full Replacement $48,000
Bathroom — Full Renovation $18,000
Interior Paint (3,653 sqft × $3.00) $10,959
Flooring — Hardwood Refinish (3,653 sqft × $4.50) $16,438
Contingency (15%) $14,010

Rehab from historical Condition Tier $/sqft band × subject sqft — not vision-invented GC quotes. Verify with a licensed contractor before closing.

Neighborhood & Apex

Trajectory: Stable

No enrichment data.

Apex breakdown

Threshold 85+ = Apex Hot

profit margin
15/100
35% weight
hidden repair risk
100/100
25% weight
neighborhood trajectory
60/100
25% weight
condition
50/100
15% weight
Beds
5
Baths
4.0
Sqft
3653
Zip
79912

Assigns Condition Tier 1–4 from listing photos (gut / heavy / cosmetic / turnkey). Rehab $ comes from historical tier bands — not photo guessing. Usually ~30–90s.

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Same zip or nearby price band — Bid/Pass Tape rows

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