Bid Check with my reno → — your rehab, stressed Bid $
Street locked · 22407 | $734,990 Flip Analysis — FlipScout
Ask
$734,990
$231/sqft
Bid $
$585,623
Max bid / MAO
Room
~$149,367 over max bid · 20% of ask
vs max bid
Verdict
WALK
Pass at list
Rehab
$103,336
$32/sqft
ARV
$645,186

Clearance (C) — bid physics. C = Bid $ ÷ Ask. We don't mint fake CLEARS. CLEARS · BID TARGET · WALK

Free: tape numbers + 3 Bid Checks/mo. Pro $15/mo: unlimited Bid Checks · streets + Deal Architecture.

Deal Architecture · Pro

Bid $ $585,623 · Ask $734,990

Walk-away max bid is free above — same math as the Bid/Pass Tape. Live waterfall, health, controls, and rehab bands unlock with Pro. We do not show a hollow OUR EDGE with empty dashes.

Flip math

Value-add ARV

ARV = adjusted list + (rehab × 1.5) · zip avm

Implied ARV $/sqft
Subject sqft3181 sqft
ARV$645,186
List− $734,990
Rehab− $103,336
Gross profit$-193,140

Contextual market baseline

Sold comps for neighborhood context — not the ARV formula · 3 sales · last 6 mo · zip 22407

Street locked · 22407 · SINGLE_FAMILY $560,000 · 2888 sqft
Street locked · 22407 · SINGLE_FAMILY $537,385 · 2732 sqft
Street locked · 22407 · SINGLE_FAMILY $565,000 · 3641 sqft

Net pro forma

Includes closing costs & 3.23-month carry

Buy closing (2%)$14,700
Holding carry$24,821
All-in capital$877,847
Sell costs (6%)− $38,711
Net proceeds$606,475
Net profit $-48,577
Photo triage & rehab band

Condition triage

Library estimate

No contractor assessment on file for this listing.

ML baseline rehab: $103,336

Baseline notes

Investor scope checklist

  • Kitchen cabinets/counters are primary value-add
  • Flooring and paint drive resale perception
  • Exterior curb appeal strongly impacts ARV
  • Mechanicals assumed functional; verify on inspection

Renovation budget

Total: $103,336
Kitchen — Full Replacement $48,000
Bathroom — Full Renovation $18,000
Interior Paint (3,181 sqft × $3.00) $9,543
Flooring — Hardwood Refinish (3,181 sqft × $4.50) $14,314
Contingency (15%) $13,479

Rehab from historical Condition Tier $/sqft band × subject sqft — not vision-invented GC quotes. Verify with a licensed contractor before closing.

Neighborhood & Apex

Trajectory: Stable

No enrichment data.

Apex breakdown

Threshold 85+ = Apex Hot

profit margin
15/100
35% weight
hidden repair risk
100/100
25% weight
neighborhood trajectory
60/100
25% weight
condition
50/100
15% weight
Beds
5
Baths
4.0
Sqft
3181
Zip
22407

Assigns Condition Tier 1–4 from listing photos (gut / heavy / cosmetic / turnkey). Rehab $ comes from historical tier bands — not photo guessing. Usually ~30–90s.

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