Bid Check with my reno → — your rehab, stressed Bid $
Street locked · 85009 | $325,000 Flip Analysis — FlipScout
Ask
$325,000
$171/sqft
Bid $
$213,230
Max bid / MAO
Room
~$111,770 over max bid · 34% of ask
vs max bid
Verdict
WALK
Pass at list
Rehab
$92,330
$48/sqft
ARV
$425,286

Clearance (C) — bid physics. C = Bid $ ÷ Ask. We don't mint fake CLEARS. CLEARS · BID TARGET · WALK

Free: tape numbers + 3 Bid Checks/mo. Pro $15/mo: unlimited Bid Checks · streets + Deal Architecture.

Deal Architecture · Pro

Bid $ $213,230 · Ask $325,000

Walk-away max bid is free above — same math as the Bid/Pass Tape. Live waterfall, health, controls, and rehab bands unlock with Pro. We do not show a hollow OUR EDGE with empty dashes.

Flip math

Value-add ARV

ARV = adjusted list + (rehab × 1.5) · zip avm

Implied ARV $/sqft
Subject sqft1905 sqft
ARV$425,286
List− $325,000
Rehab− $92,330
Gross profit$7,956

Contextual market baseline

Sold comps for neighborhood context — not the ARV formula · 3 sales · last 6 mo · zip 85009

Street locked · 85009 · SINGLE_FAMILY $395,000 · 1785 sqft
Street locked · 85009 · SINGLE_FAMILY $360,000 · 1773 sqft
Street locked · 85009 · SINGLE_FAMILY $350,000 · 1681 sqft

Net pro forma

Includes closing costs & 4.77-month carry

Buy closing (2%)$6,500
Holding carry$18,248
All-in capital$442,078
Sell costs (6%)− $25,517
Net proceeds$399,769
Net profit $-69,422
Photo triage & rehab band

Condition triage

Library estimate

No contractor assessment on file for this listing.

ML baseline rehab: $92,330

Baseline notes

Investor scope checklist

  • Kitchen cabinets/counters are primary value-add
  • Flooring and paint drive resale perception
  • Exterior curb appeal strongly impacts ARV
  • Mechanicals assumed functional; verify on inspection

Renovation budget

Total: $92,330
Kitchen — Full Replacement $48,000
Bathroom — Full Renovation $18,000
Interior Paint (1,905 sqft × $3.00) $5,715
Flooring — Hardwood Refinish (1,905 sqft × $4.50) $8,572
Contingency (15%) $12,043

Rehab from historical Condition Tier $/sqft band × subject sqft — not vision-invented GC quotes. Verify with a licensed contractor before closing.

Neighborhood & Apex

Trajectory: Stable

No enrichment data.

Apex breakdown

Threshold 85+ = Apex Hot

profit margin
15/100
35% weight
hidden repair risk
100/100
25% weight
neighborhood trajectory
60/100
25% weight
condition
50/100
15% weight
Beds
4
Baths
3.0
Sqft
1905
Zip
85009

Assigns Condition Tier 1–4 from listing photos (gut / heavy / cosmetic / turnkey). Rehab $ comes from historical tier bands — not photo guessing. Usually ~30–90s.

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Same zip or nearby price band — Bid/Pass Tape rows

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