Bid Check with my reno → — your rehab, stressed Bid $
Street locked · 86406 | $799,000 Flip Analysis — FlipScout
Ask
$799,000
$315/sqft
Bid $
$506,561
Max bid / MAO
Room
~$292,439 over max bid · 37% of ask
vs max bid
Verdict
WALK
Pass at list
Rehab
$63,325
$25/sqft
ARV
$745,323

Clearance (C) — bid physics. C = Bid $ ÷ Ask. We don't mint fake CLEARS. CLEARS · BID TARGET · WALK

Free: tape numbers + 3 Bid Checks/mo. Pro $15/mo: unlimited Bid Checks · streets + Deal Architecture.

Deal Architecture · Pro

Bid $ $506,561 · Ask $799,000

Walk-away max bid is free above — same math as the Bid/Pass Tape. Live waterfall, health, controls, and rehab bands unlock with Pro. We do not show a hollow OUR EDGE with empty dashes.

Flip math

Value-add ARV

ARV = adjusted list + (rehab × 1.5) · zip avm

Implied ARV $/sqft
Subject sqft2533 sqft
ARV$745,323
List− $799,000
Rehab− $63,325
Gross profit$-117,002

Contextual market baseline

Sold comps for neighborhood context — not the ARV formula · 3 sales · last 6 mo · zip 86406

Street locked · 86406 · SINGLE_FAMILY $625,000 · 2461 sqft
Street locked · 86406 · SINGLE_FAMILY $785,000 · 2447 sqft
Street locked · 86406 · SINGLE_FAMILY $975,000 · 2365 sqft

Net pro forma

Includes closing costs & 4.49-month carry

Buy closing (2%)$15,980
Holding carry$32,886
All-in capital$911,191
Sell costs (6%)− $44,719
Net proceeds$700,603
Net profit $-217,201
Photo triage & rehab band

Condition triage

Library estimate

No contractor assessment on file for this listing.

ML baseline rehab:

Baseline notes

Investor scope checklist

  • Kitchen cabinets/counters are primary value-add
  • Flooring and paint drive resale perception
  • Exterior curb appeal strongly impacts ARV
  • Mechanicals assumed functional; verify on inspection

Renovation budget

Total: $63,325
Renovation Budget (estimated) $63,325

Rehab from historical Condition Tier $/sqft band × subject sqft — not vision-invented GC quotes. Verify with a licensed contractor before closing.

Neighborhood & Apex

Trajectory: Stable

No enrichment data.

Apex breakdown

Threshold 85+ = Apex Hot

profit margin
40/100
35% weight
hidden repair risk
100/100
25% weight
neighborhood trajectory
60/100
25% weight
condition
50/100
15% weight
Beds
3
Baths
3.0
Sqft
2533
Zip
86406

Assigns Condition Tier 1–4 from listing photos (gut / heavy / cosmetic / turnkey). Rehab $ comes from historical tier bands — not photo guessing. Usually ~30–90s.

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