Bid Check with my reno → — your rehab, stressed Bid $
Street locked · 86406 | $619,000 Flip Analysis — FlipScout
Ask
$619,000
$222/sqft
Bid $
$462,676
Max bid / MAO
Room
~$156,324 over max bid · 25% of ask
vs max bid
Verdict
WALK
Pass at list
Rehab
$69,550
$25/sqft
ARV
$695,801

Clearance (C) — bid physics. C = Bid $ ÷ Ask. We don't mint fake CLEARS. CLEARS · BID TARGET · WALK

Free: tape numbers + 3 Bid Checks/mo. Pro $15/mo: unlimited Bid Checks · streets + Deal Architecture.

Deal Architecture · Pro

Bid $ $462,676 · Ask $619,000

Walk-away max bid is free above — same math as the Bid/Pass Tape. Live waterfall, health, controls, and rehab bands unlock with Pro. We do not show a hollow OUR EDGE with empty dashes.

Flip math

Value-add ARV

ARV = adjusted list + (rehab × 1.5) · zip avm

Implied ARV $/sqft
Subject sqft2782 sqft
ARV$695,801
List− $619,000
Rehab− $69,550
Gross profit$7,251

Contextual market baseline

Sold comps for neighborhood context — not the ARV formula · 3 sales · last 6 mo · zip 86406

Street locked · 86406 · SINGLE_FAMILY $1,975,000 · 2801 sqft
Street locked · 86406 · SINGLE_FAMILY $625,000 · 2461 sqft
Street locked · 86406 · SINGLE_FAMILY $785,000 · 2447 sqft

Net pro forma

Includes closing costs & 2.99-month carry

Buy closing (2%)$12,380
Holding carry$16,966
All-in capital$717,896
Sell costs (6%)− $41,748
Net proceeds$654,053
Net profit $-80,419
Photo triage & rehab band

Condition triage

Library estimate

No contractor assessment on file for this listing.

ML baseline rehab:

Baseline notes

Investor scope checklist

  • Kitchen cabinets/counters are primary value-add
  • Flooring and paint drive resale perception
  • Exterior curb appeal strongly impacts ARV
  • Mechanicals assumed functional; verify on inspection

Renovation budget

Total: $69,550
Renovation Budget (estimated) $69,550

Rehab from historical Condition Tier $/sqft band × subject sqft — not vision-invented GC quotes. Verify with a licensed contractor before closing.

Neighborhood & Apex

Trajectory: Stable

No enrichment data.

Apex breakdown

Threshold 85+ = Apex Hot

profit margin
40/100
35% weight
hidden repair risk
100/100
25% weight
neighborhood trajectory
60/100
25% weight
condition
50/100
15% weight
Beds
5
Baths
3.0
Sqft
2782
Zip
86406

Assigns Condition Tier 1–4 from listing photos (gut / heavy / cosmetic / turnkey). Rehab $ comes from historical tier bands — not photo guessing. Usually ~30–90s.

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