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Street locked · 07728 | $399,900 Flip Analysis — FlipScout
Property photo 1 Property photo 2 Property photo 3 Property photo 4 Property photo 5
Ask
$399,900
$395/sqft
Bid $
$265,090
Max bid / MAO
Room
~$134,810 over max bid · 34% of ask
vs max bid
Verdict
WALK
Pass at list
Rehab
$84,628
$84/sqft
ARV
$318,116

Clearance (C) — bid physics. C = Bid $ ÷ Ask. We don't mint fake CLEARS. CLEARS · BID TARGET · WALK

Free: tape numbers + 3 Bid Checks/mo. Pro $15/mo: unlimited Bid Checks · streets + Deal Architecture.

Deal Architecture · Pro

Bid $ $265,090 · Ask $399,900

Walk-away max bid is free above — same math as the Bid/Pass Tape. Live waterfall, health, controls, and rehab bands unlock with Pro. We do not show a hollow OUR EDGE with empty dashes.

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Flip math

Value-add ARV

ARV = adjusted list + (rehab × 1.5) · zip avm

Implied ARV $/sqft
Subject sqft1012 sqft
ARV$318,116
List− $399,900
Rehab− $84,628
Gross profit$-166,412

Contextual market baseline

Sold comps for neighborhood context — not the ARV formula · 3 sales · last 6 mo · zip 07728

Street locked · 07728 · SINGLE_FAMILY $460,000 · 864 sqft
Street locked · 07728 · CONDOS $275,000 · 840 sqft
Street locked · 07728 · TOWNHOMES $475,000 · 1220 sqft

Net pro forma

Includes closing costs & 4.1-month carry

Buy closing (2%)$7,998
Holding carry$18,210
All-in capital$510,736
Sell costs (6%)− $19,087
Net proceeds$299,029
Net profit $-86,612
Photo triage & rehab band

Condition triage

Library estimate

No contractor assessment on file for this listing.

ML baseline rehab: $84,628

Baseline notes

Investor scope checklist

  • ▸Kitchen cabinets/counters are primary value-add
  • ▸Flooring and paint drive resale perception
  • ▸Exterior curb appeal strongly impacts ARV
  • ▸Mechanicals assumed functional; verify on inspection

Renovation budget

Total: $84,628
Kitchen — Full Replacement $48,000
Bathroom — Full Renovation $18,000
Interior Paint (1,012 sqft × $3.00) $3,036
Flooring — Hardwood Refinish (1,012 sqft × $4.50) $4,554
Contingency (15%) $11,038

Rehab from historical Condition Tier $/sqft band × subject sqft — not vision-invented GC quotes. Verify with a licensed contractor before closing.

Neighborhood & Apex

Trajectory: Declining

07728 (07728) signals softer conditions: margins ~1.9%, DOM ~45 days, avg price drops ~0.0. Tighten ARV and rehab assumptions.

Apex breakdown

Threshold 85+ = Apex Hot

profit margin
2/100
35% weight
hidden repair risk
100/100
25% weight
neighborhood trajectory
20/100
25% weight
condition
50/100
15% weight
Beds
2
Baths
1.0
Sqft
1012
Zip
07728

Assigns Condition Tier 1–4 from listing photos (gut / heavy / cosmetic / turnkey). Rehab $ comes from historical tier bands — not photo guessing. Usually ~30–90s.

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