Bid Check with my reno → — your rehab, stressed Bid $
Street locked · 07728 | $799,000 Flip Analysis — FlipScout
Ask
$799,000
$458/sqft
Bid $
$581,870
Max bid / MAO
Room
~$217,130 over max bid · 27% of ask
vs max bid
Verdict
WALK
Pass at list
Rehab
$90,942
$52/sqft
ARV
$548,216

Clearance (C) — bid physics. C = Bid $ ÷ Ask. We don't mint fake CLEARS. CLEARS · BID TARGET · WALK

Free: tape numbers + 3 Bid Checks/mo. Pro $15/mo: unlimited Bid Checks · streets + Deal Architecture.

Deal Architecture · Pro

Bid $ $581,870 · Ask $799,000

Walk-away max bid is free above — same math as the Bid/Pass Tape. Live waterfall, health, controls, and rehab bands unlock with Pro. We do not show a hollow OUR EDGE with empty dashes.

Flip math

Value-add ARV

ARV = adjusted list + (rehab × 1.5) · zip avm

Implied ARV $/sqft
Subject sqft1744 sqft
ARV$548,216
List− $799,000
Rehab− $90,942
Gross profit$-341,726

Contextual market baseline

Sold comps for neighborhood context — not the ARV formula · 3 sales · last 6 mo · zip 07728

Street locked · 07728 · CONDOS $545,000 · 1718 sqft
Street locked · 07728 · SINGLE_FAMILY $750,000 · 1812 sqft
Street locked · 07728 · TOWNHOMES $565,000 · 1675 sqft

Net pro forma

Includes closing costs & 3.13-month carry

Buy closing (2%)$15,980
Holding carry$25,534
All-in capital$931,456
Sell costs (6%)− $32,893
Net proceeds$515,323
Net profit $-122,132
Photo triage & rehab band

Condition triage

Library estimate

No contractor assessment on file for this listing.

ML baseline rehab: $90,942

Baseline notes

Investor scope checklist

  • Kitchen cabinets/counters are primary value-add
  • Flooring and paint drive resale perception
  • Exterior curb appeal strongly impacts ARV
  • Mechanicals assumed functional; verify on inspection

Renovation budget

Total: $90,942
Kitchen — Full Replacement $48,000
Bathroom — Full Renovation $18,000
Interior Paint (1,744 sqft × $3.00) $5,232
Flooring — Hardwood Refinish (1,744 sqft × $4.50) $7,848
Contingency (15%) $11,862

Rehab from historical Condition Tier $/sqft band × subject sqft — not vision-invented GC quotes. Verify with a licensed contractor before closing.

Neighborhood & Apex

Trajectory: Declining

07728 (07728) signals softer conditions: margins ~1.9%, DOM ~45 days, avg price drops ~0.0. Tighten ARV and rehab assumptions.

Apex breakdown

Threshold 85+ = Apex Hot

profit margin
0/100
35% weight
hidden repair risk
100/100
25% weight
neighborhood trajectory
20/100
25% weight
condition
50/100
15% weight
Beds
3
Baths
3.0
Sqft
1744
Zip
07728

Assigns Condition Tier 1–4 from listing photos (gut / heavy / cosmetic / turnkey). Rehab $ comes from historical tier bands — not photo guessing. Usually ~30–90s.

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Same zip or nearby price band — Bid/Pass Tape rows

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