Bid Check with my reno → — your rehab, stressed Bid $
Street locked · 85009 | $315,000 Flip Analysis — FlipScout
Property photo 1 Property photo 2 Property photo 3 Property photo 4 Property photo 5
Ask
$315,000
$239/sqft
Bid $
$208,865
Max bid / MAO
Room
~$106,135 over max bid · 34% of ask
vs max bid
Verdict
WALK
Pass at list
Rehab
$87,250
$66/sqft
ARV
$293,794

Clearance (C) — bid physics. C = Bid $ ÷ Ask. We don't mint fake CLEARS. CLEARS · BID TARGET · WALK

Free: tape numbers + 3 Bid Checks/mo. Pro $15/mo: unlimited Bid Checks · streets + Deal Architecture.

Deal Architecture · Pro

Bid $ $208,865 · Ask $315,000

Walk-away max bid is free above — same math as the Bid/Pass Tape. Live waterfall, health, controls, and rehab bands unlock with Pro. We do not show a hollow OUR EDGE with empty dashes.

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Flip math

Value-add ARV

ARV = adjusted list + (rehab × 1.5) · zip avm

Implied ARV $/sqft
Subject sqft1316 sqft
ARV$293,794
List− $315,000
Rehab− $87,250
Gross profit$-108,456

Contextual market baseline

Sold comps for neighborhood context — not the ARV formula · 3 sales · last 6 mo · zip 85009

Street locked · 85009 · SINGLE_FAMILY $313,900 · 1253 sqft
Street locked · 85009 · SINGLE_FAMILY $270,000 · 1442 sqft
Street locked · 85009 · SINGLE_FAMILY $239,900 · 1484 sqft

Net pro forma

Includes closing costs & 4.03-month carry

Buy closing (2%)$6,300
Holding carry$14,860
All-in capital$423,410
Sell costs (6%)− $17,628
Net proceeds$276,166
Net profit $-64,984
Photo triage & rehab band

Condition triage

Library estimate

No contractor assessment on file for this listing.

ML baseline rehab: $87,250

Baseline notes

Investor scope checklist

  • ▸Kitchen cabinets/counters are primary value-add
  • ▸Flooring and paint drive resale perception
  • ▸Exterior curb appeal strongly impacts ARV
  • ▸Mechanicals assumed functional; verify on inspection

Renovation budget

Total: $87,250
Kitchen — Full Replacement $48,000
Bathroom — Full Renovation $18,000
Interior Paint (1,316 sqft × $3.00) $3,948
Flooring — Hardwood Refinish (1,316 sqft × $4.50) $5,922
Contingency (15%) $11,380

Rehab from historical Condition Tier $/sqft band × subject sqft — not vision-invented GC quotes. Verify with a licensed contractor before closing.

Neighborhood & Apex

Trajectory: Stable

No enrichment data.

Apex breakdown

Threshold 85+ = Apex Hot

profit margin
15/100
35% weight
hidden repair risk
100/100
25% weight
neighborhood trajectory
60/100
25% weight
condition
50/100
15% weight
Beds
3
Baths
2.0
Sqft
1316
Zip
85009

Assigns Condition Tier 1–4 from listing photos (gut / heavy / cosmetic / turnkey). Rehab $ comes from historical tier bands — not photo guessing. Usually ~30–90s.

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