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Street locked · 93551 | $498,000 Flip Analysis — FlipScout
Property photo 1 Property photo 2 Property photo 3 Property photo 4 Property photo 5
Ask
$498,000
$273/sqft
Bid $
$375,620
Max bid / MAO
Room
~$122,380 over max bid · 25% of ask
vs max bid
Verdict
WALK
Pass at list
Rehab
$91,615
$50/sqft
ARV
$401,512

Clearance (C) — bid physics. C = Bid $ ÷ Ask. We don't mint fake CLEARS. CLEARS · BID TARGET · WALK

Free: tape numbers + 3 Bid Checks/mo. Pro $15/mo: unlimited Bid Checks · streets + Deal Architecture.

Deal Architecture · Pro

Bid $ $375,620 · Ask $498,000

Walk-away max bid is free above — same math as the Bid/Pass Tape. Live waterfall, health, controls, and rehab bands unlock with Pro. We do not show a hollow OUR EDGE with empty dashes.

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Flip math

Value-add ARV

ARV = adjusted list + (rehab × 1.5) · zip avm

Implied ARV $/sqft
Subject sqft1822 sqft
ARV$401,512
List− $498,000
Rehab− $91,615
Gross profit$-188,103

Contextual market baseline

Sold comps for neighborhood context — not the ARV formula · 3 sales · last 6 mo · zip 93551

Street locked · 93551 · SINGLE_FAMILY $595,000 · 1829 sqft
Street locked · 93551 · CONDOS $409,999 · 1732 sqft
Street locked · 93551 · TOWNHOMES $495,000 · 1961 sqft

Net pro forma

Includes closing costs & 3.36-month carry

Buy closing (2%)$9,960
Holding carry$18,160
All-in capital$617,735
Sell costs (6%)− $24,091
Net proceeds$377,421
Net profit $-55,117
Photo triage & rehab band

Condition triage

Library estimate

No contractor assessment on file for this listing.

ML baseline rehab: $91,615

Baseline notes

Investor scope checklist

  • ▸Kitchen cabinets/counters are primary value-add
  • ▸Flooring and paint drive resale perception
  • ▸Exterior curb appeal strongly impacts ARV
  • ▸Mechanicals assumed functional; verify on inspection

Renovation budget

Total: $91,615
Kitchen — Full Replacement $48,000
Bathroom — Full Renovation $18,000
Interior Paint (1,822 sqft × $3.00) $5,466
Flooring — Hardwood Refinish (1,822 sqft × $4.50) $8,199
Contingency (15%) $11,950

Rehab from historical Condition Tier $/sqft band × subject sqft — not vision-invented GC quotes. Verify with a licensed contractor before closing.

Neighborhood & Apex

Trajectory: Stable

No enrichment data.

Apex breakdown

Threshold 85+ = Apex Hot

profit margin
15/100
35% weight
hidden repair risk
100/100
25% weight
neighborhood trajectory
60/100
25% weight
condition
50/100
15% weight
Beds
3
Baths
3.0
Sqft
1822
Zip
93551

Assigns Condition Tier 1–4 from listing photos (gut / heavy / cosmetic / turnkey). Rehab $ comes from historical tier bands — not photo guessing. Usually ~30–90s.

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