Bid Check with my reno → — your rehab, stressed Bid $
Street locked · 85142 | $679,990 Flip Analysis — FlipScout
Property photo 1 Property photo 2 Property photo 3 Property photo 4 Property photo 5
Ask
$679,990
$204/sqft
Bid $
$532,892
Max bid / MAO
Room
~$147,098 over max bid · 22% of ask
vs max bid
Verdict
WALK
Pass at list
Rehab
$104,690
$31/sqft
ARV
$774,086

Clearance (C) — bid physics. C = Bid $ ÷ Ask. We don't mint fake CLEARS. CLEARS · BID TARGET · WALK

Free: tape numbers + 3 Bid Checks/mo. Pro $15/mo: unlimited Bid Checks · streets + Deal Architecture.

Deal Architecture · Pro

Bid $ $532,892 · Ask $679,990

Walk-away max bid is free above — same math as the Bid/Pass Tape. Live waterfall, health, controls, and rehab bands unlock with Pro. We do not show a hollow OUR EDGE with empty dashes.

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Flip math

Value-add ARV

ARV = adjusted list + (rehab × 1.5) · zip avm

Implied ARV $/sqft
Subject sqft3338 sqft
ARV$774,086
List− $679,990
Rehab− $104,690
Gross profit$-10,594

Contextual market baseline

Sold comps for neighborhood context — not the ARV formula · 3 sales · last 6 mo · zip 85142

Street locked · 85142 · SINGLE_FAMILY $625,870 · 3338 sqft
Street locked · 85142 · SINGLE_FAMILY $785,000 · 3282 sqft
Street locked · 85142 · SINGLE_FAMILY $840,000 · 3194 sqft

Net pro forma

Includes closing costs & 7.31-month carry

Buy closing (2%)$13,600
Holding carry$52,580
All-in capital$850,860
Sell costs (6%)− $46,445
Net proceeds$727,641
Net profit $-54,283
Photo triage & rehab band

Condition triage

Library estimate

No contractor assessment on file for this listing.

ML baseline rehab: $104,690

Baseline notes

Investor scope checklist

  • ▸Kitchen cabinets/counters are primary value-add
  • ▸Flooring and paint drive resale perception
  • ▸Exterior curb appeal strongly impacts ARV
  • ▸Mechanicals assumed functional; verify on inspection

Renovation budget

Total: $104,690
Kitchen — Full Replacement $48,000
Bathroom — Full Renovation $18,000
Interior Paint (3,338 sqft × $3.00) $10,014
Flooring — Hardwood Refinish (3,338 sqft × $4.50) $15,021
Contingency (15%) $13,655

Rehab from historical Condition Tier $/sqft band × subject sqft — not vision-invented GC quotes. Verify with a licensed contractor before closing.

Neighborhood & Apex

Trajectory: Stable

No enrichment data.

Apex breakdown

Threshold 85+ = Apex Hot

profit margin
15/100
35% weight
hidden repair risk
100/100
25% weight
neighborhood trajectory
60/100
25% weight
condition
50/100
15% weight
Beds
4
Baths
4.0
Sqft
3338
Zip
85142

Assigns Condition Tier 1–4 from listing photos (gut / heavy / cosmetic / turnkey). Rehab $ comes from historical tier bands — not photo guessing. Usually ~30–90s.

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