Bid Check with my reno → — your rehab, stressed Bid $
Street locked · 85282 | $324,000 Flip Analysis — FlipScout
Ask
$324,000
$253/sqft
Bid $
$217,563
Max bid / MAO
Room
~$106,437 over max bid · 33% of ask
vs max bid
Verdict
WALK
Pass at list
Rehab
$86,957
$68/sqft
ARV
$305,363

Clearance (C) — bid physics. C = Bid $ ÷ Ask. We don't mint fake CLEARS. CLEARS · BID TARGET · WALK

Free: tape numbers + 3 Bid Checks/mo. Pro $15/mo: unlimited Bid Checks · streets + Deal Architecture.

Deal Architecture · Pro

Bid $ $217,563 · Ask $324,000

Walk-away max bid is free above — same math as the Bid/Pass Tape. Live waterfall, health, controls, and rehab bands unlock with Pro. We do not show a hollow OUR EDGE with empty dashes.

Flip math

Value-add ARV

ARV = adjusted list + (rehab × 1.5) · zip avm

Implied ARV $/sqft
Subject sqft1282 sqft
ARV$305,363
List− $324,000
Rehab− $86,957
Gross profit$-105,594

Contextual market baseline

Sold comps for neighborhood context — not the ARV formula · 3 sales · last 6 mo · zip 85282

Street locked · 85282 · CONDOS $302,000 · 1282 sqft
Street locked · 85282 · SINGLE_FAMILY $450,000 · 1341 sqft
Street locked · 85282 · SINGLE_FAMILY $285,000 · 1216 sqft

Net pro forma

Includes closing costs & 3.37-month carry

Buy closing (2%)$6,480
Holding carry$12,695
All-in capital$430,132
Sell costs (6%)− $18,322
Net proceeds$287,041
Net profit $-63,977
Photo triage & rehab band

Condition triage

Library estimate

No contractor assessment on file for this listing.

ML baseline rehab: $86,957

Baseline notes

Investor scope checklist

  • Kitchen cabinets/counters are primary value-add
  • Flooring and paint drive resale perception
  • Exterior curb appeal strongly impacts ARV
  • Mechanicals assumed functional; verify on inspection

Renovation budget

Total: $86,957
Kitchen — Full Replacement $48,000
Bathroom — Full Renovation $18,000
Interior Paint (1,282 sqft × $3.00) $3,846
Flooring — Hardwood Refinish (1,282 sqft × $4.50) $5,769
Contingency (15%) $11,342

Rehab from historical Condition Tier $/sqft band × subject sqft — not vision-invented GC quotes. Verify with a licensed contractor before closing.

Neighborhood & Apex

Trajectory: Stable

No enrichment data.

Apex breakdown

Threshold 85+ = Apex Hot

profit margin
15/100
35% weight
hidden repair risk
100/100
25% weight
neighborhood trajectory
60/100
25% weight
condition
50/100
15% weight
Beds
3
Baths
2.0
Sqft
1282
Zip
85282

Assigns Condition Tier 1–4 from listing photos (gut / heavy / cosmetic / turnkey). Rehab $ comes from historical tier bands — not photo guessing. Usually ~30–90s.

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