Bid Check with my reno → — your rehab, stressed Bid $
Street locked · 85282 | $309,000 Flip Analysis — FlipScout
Property photo 1 Property photo 2 Property photo 3 Property photo 4 Property photo 5
Ask
$309,000
$309/sqft
Bid $
$205,936
Max bid / MAO
Room
~$103,064 over max bid · 33% of ask
vs max bid
Verdict
WALK
Pass at list
Rehab
$84,517
$85/sqft
ARV
$237,954

Clearance (C) — bid physics. C = Bid $ ÷ Ask. We don't mint fake CLEARS. CLEARS · BID TARGET · WALK

Free: tape numbers + 3 Bid Checks/mo. Pro $15/mo: unlimited Bid Checks · streets + Deal Architecture.

Deal Architecture · Pro

Bid $ $205,936 · Ask $309,000

Walk-away max bid is free above — same math as the Bid/Pass Tape. Live waterfall, health, controls, and rehab bands unlock with Pro. We do not show a hollow OUR EDGE with empty dashes.

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Flip math

Value-add ARV

ARV = adjusted list + (rehab × 1.5) · zip avm

Implied ARV $/sqft
Subject sqft999 sqft
ARV$237,954
List− $309,000
Rehab− $84,517
Gross profit$-155,563

Contextual market baseline

Sold comps for neighborhood context — not the ARV formula · 3 sales · last 6 mo · zip 85282

Street locked · 85282 · CONDOS $287,000 · 999 sqft
Street locked · 85282 · MOBILE $26,500 · 950 sqft
Street locked · 85282 · CONDO $175,000 · 849 sqft

Net pro forma

Includes closing costs & 11.57-month carry

Buy closing (2%)$6,180
Holding carry$41,736
All-in capital$441,433
Sell costs (6%)− $14,277
Net proceeds$223,677
Net profit $-62,646
Photo triage & rehab band

Condition triage

Library estimate

No contractor assessment on file for this listing.

ML baseline rehab: $84,517

Baseline notes

Investor scope checklist

  • ▸Kitchen cabinets/counters are primary value-add
  • ▸Flooring and paint drive resale perception
  • ▸Exterior curb appeal strongly impacts ARV
  • ▸Mechanicals assumed functional; verify on inspection

Renovation budget

Total: $84,517
Kitchen — Full Replacement $48,000
Bathroom — Full Renovation $18,000
Interior Paint (999 sqft × $3.00) $2,997
Flooring — Hardwood Refinish (999 sqft × $4.50) $4,496
Contingency (15%) $11,024

Rehab from historical Condition Tier $/sqft band × subject sqft — not vision-invented GC quotes. Verify with a licensed contractor before closing.

Neighborhood & Apex

Trajectory: Stable

No enrichment data.

Apex breakdown

Threshold 85+ = Apex Hot

profit margin
15/100
35% weight
hidden repair risk
100/100
25% weight
neighborhood trajectory
60/100
25% weight
condition
50/100
15% weight
Beds
2
Baths
2.0
Sqft
999
Zip
85282

Assigns Condition Tier 1–4 from listing photos (gut / heavy / cosmetic / turnkey). Rehab $ comes from historical tier bands — not photo guessing. Usually ~30–90s.

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