Bid Check with my reno → — your rehab, stressed Bid $
Street locked · 07728 | $549,000 Flip Analysis — FlipScout
Ask
$549,000
$320/sqft
Bid $
$421,614
Max bid / MAO
Room
~$127,386 over max bid · 23% of ask
vs max bid
Verdict
WALK
Pass at list
Rehab
$90,718
$53/sqft
ARV
$532,947

Clearance (C) — bid physics. C = Bid $ ÷ Ask. We don't mint fake CLEARS. CLEARS · BID TARGET · WALK

Free: tape numbers + 3 Bid Checks/mo. Pro $15/mo: unlimited Bid Checks · streets + Deal Architecture.

Deal Architecture · Pro

Bid $ $421,614 · Ask $549,000

Walk-away max bid is free above — same math as the Bid/Pass Tape. Live waterfall, health, controls, and rehab bands unlock with Pro. We do not show a hollow OUR EDGE with empty dashes.

Flip math

Value-add ARV

ARV = adjusted list + (rehab × 1.5) · zip avm

Implied ARV $/sqft
Subject sqft1718 sqft
ARV$532,947
List− $549,000
Rehab− $90,718
Gross profit$-106,771

Contextual market baseline

Sold comps for neighborhood context — not the ARV formula · 3 sales · last 6 mo · zip 07728

Street locked · 07728 · CONDOS $545,000 · 1718 sqft
Street locked · 07728 · TOWNHOMES $565,000 · 1675 sqft
Street locked · 07728 · SINGLE_FAMILY $715,000 · 1668 sqft

Net pro forma

Includes closing costs & 3.22-month carry

Buy closing (2%)$10,980
Holding carry$18,882
All-in capital$669,580
Sell costs (6%)− $31,977
Net proceeds$500,970
Net profit $-53,270
Photo triage & rehab band

Condition triage

Library estimate

No contractor assessment on file for this listing.

ML baseline rehab: $90,718

Baseline notes

Investor scope checklist

  • Kitchen cabinets/counters are primary value-add
  • Flooring and paint drive resale perception
  • Exterior curb appeal strongly impacts ARV
  • Mechanicals assumed functional; verify on inspection

Renovation budget

Total: $90,718
Kitchen — Full Replacement $48,000
Bathroom — Full Renovation $18,000
Interior Paint (1,718 sqft × $3.00) $5,154
Flooring — Hardwood Refinish (1,718 sqft × $4.50) $7,731
Contingency (15%) $11,833

Rehab from historical Condition Tier $/sqft band × subject sqft — not vision-invented GC quotes. Verify with a licensed contractor before closing.

Neighborhood & Apex

Trajectory: Declining

07728 (07728) signals softer conditions: margins ~1.9%, DOM ~45 days, avg price drops ~0.0. Tighten ARV and rehab assumptions.

Apex breakdown

Threshold 85+ = Apex Hot

profit margin
14/100
35% weight
hidden repair risk
100/100
25% weight
neighborhood trajectory
20/100
25% weight
condition
50/100
15% weight
Beds
3
Baths
3.0
Sqft
1718
Zip
07728

Assigns Condition Tier 1–4 from listing photos (gut / heavy / cosmetic / turnkey). Rehab $ comes from historical tier bands — not photo guessing. Usually ~30–90s.

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Same zip or nearby price band — Bid/Pass Tape rows

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