Bid Check with my reno → — your rehab, stressed Bid $
Street locked · 07728 | $530,000 Flip Analysis — FlipScout
Ask
$530,000
$347/sqft
Bid $
$379,460
Max bid / MAO
Room
~$150,540 over max bid · 28% of ask
vs max bid
Verdict
WALK
Pass at list
Rehab
$89,087
$58/sqft
ARV
$474,317

Clearance (C) — bid physics. C = Bid $ ÷ Ask. We don't mint fake CLEARS. CLEARS · BID TARGET · WALK

Free: tape numbers + 3 Bid Checks/mo. Pro $15/mo: unlimited Bid Checks · streets + Deal Architecture.

Deal Architecture · Pro

Bid $ $379,460 · Ask $530,000

Walk-away max bid is free above — same math as the Bid/Pass Tape. Live waterfall, health, controls, and rehab bands unlock with Pro. We do not show a hollow OUR EDGE with empty dashes.

Flip math

Value-add ARV

ARV = adjusted list + (rehab × 1.5) · zip avm

Implied ARV $/sqft
Subject sqft1529 sqft
ARV$474,317
List− $530,000
Rehab− $89,087
Gross profit$-144,770

Contextual market baseline

Sold comps for neighborhood context — not the ARV formula · 3 sales · last 6 mo · zip 07728

Street locked · 07728 · TOWNHOMES $490,000 · 1533 sqft
Street locked · 07728 · CONDOS $640,000 · 1560 sqft
Street locked · 07728 · SINGLE_FAMILY $590,000 · 1561 sqft

Net pro forma

Includes closing costs & 3.47-month carry

Buy closing (2%)$10,600
Holding carry$19,692
All-in capital$649,379
Sell costs (6%)− $28,459
Net proceeds$445,858
Net profit $-84,430
Photo triage & rehab band

Condition triage

Library estimate

No contractor assessment on file for this listing.

ML baseline rehab: $89,087

Baseline notes

Investor scope checklist

  • Kitchen cabinets/counters are primary value-add
  • Flooring and paint drive resale perception
  • Exterior curb appeal strongly impacts ARV
  • Mechanicals assumed functional; verify on inspection

Renovation budget

Total: $89,087
Kitchen — Full Replacement $48,000
Bathroom — Full Renovation $18,000
Interior Paint (1,529 sqft × $3.00) $4,587
Flooring — Hardwood Refinish (1,529 sqft × $4.50) $6,880
Contingency (15%) $11,620

Rehab from historical Condition Tier $/sqft band × subject sqft — not vision-invented GC quotes. Verify with a licensed contractor before closing.

Neighborhood & Apex

Trajectory: Declining

07728 (07728) signals softer conditions: margins ~1.9%, DOM ~45 days, avg price drops ~0.0. Tighten ARV and rehab assumptions.

Apex breakdown

Threshold 85+ = Apex Hot

profit margin
3/100
35% weight
hidden repair risk
100/100
25% weight
neighborhood trajectory
20/100
25% weight
condition
50/100
15% weight
Beds
3
Baths
2.0
Sqft
1529
Zip
07728

Assigns Condition Tier 1–4 from listing photos (gut / heavy / cosmetic / turnkey). Rehab $ comes from historical tier bands — not photo guessing. Usually ~30–90s.

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Same zip or nearby price band — Bid/Pass Tape rows

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