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Street locked · 96818 | $470,000 Flip Analysis — FlipScout
Property photo 1 Property photo 2 Property photo 3 Property photo 4 Property photo 5
Ask
$470,000
$576/sqft
Bid $
$357,957
Max bid / MAO
Room
~$112,043 over max bid · 24% of ask
vs max bid
Verdict
WALK
Pass at list
Rehab
$82,938
$102/sqft
ARV
$430,456

Clearance (C) — bid physics. C = Bid $ ÷ Ask. We don't mint fake CLEARS. CLEARS · BID TARGET · WALK

Free: tape numbers + 3 Bid Checks/mo. Pro $15/mo: unlimited Bid Checks · streets + Deal Architecture.

Deal Architecture · Pro

Bid $ $357,957 · Ask $470,000

Walk-away max bid is free above — same math as the Bid/Pass Tape. Live waterfall, health, controls, and rehab bands unlock with Pro. We do not show a hollow OUR EDGE with empty dashes.

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Flip math

Value-add ARV

ARV = adjusted list + (rehab × 1.5) · zip avm

Implied ARV $/sqft
Subject sqft816 sqft
ARV$430,456
List− $470,000
Rehab− $82,938
Gross profit$-122,482

Contextual market baseline

Sold comps for neighborhood context — not the ARV formula · 3 sales · last 6 mo · zip 96818

Street locked · 96818 · CONDOS $460,000 · 816 sqft
Street locked · 96818 · CONDOS $485,000 · 813 sqft
Street locked · 96818 · CONDOS $465,000 · 829 sqft

Net pro forma

Includes closing costs & 7.84-month carry

Buy closing (2%)$9,400
Holding carry$39,738
All-in capital$602,076
Sell costs (6%)− $25,827
Net proceeds$404,629
Net profit $-48,393
Photo triage & rehab band

Condition triage

Library estimate

No contractor assessment on file for this listing.

ML baseline rehab: $82,938

Baseline notes

Investor scope checklist

  • ▸Kitchen cabinets/counters are primary value-add
  • ▸Flooring and paint drive resale perception
  • ▸Exterior curb appeal strongly impacts ARV
  • ▸Mechanicals assumed functional; verify on inspection

Renovation budget

Total: $82,938
Kitchen — Full Replacement $48,000
Bathroom — Full Renovation $18,000
Interior Paint (816 sqft × $3.00) $2,448
Flooring — Hardwood Refinish (816 sqft × $4.50) $3,672
Contingency (15%) $10,818

Rehab from historical Condition Tier $/sqft band × subject sqft — not vision-invented GC quotes. Verify with a licensed contractor before closing.

Neighborhood & Apex

Trajectory: Stable

No enrichment data.

Apex breakdown

Threshold 85+ = Apex Hot

profit margin
15/100
35% weight
hidden repair risk
100/100
25% weight
neighborhood trajectory
60/100
25% weight
condition
50/100
15% weight
Beds
3
Baths
2.0
Sqft
816
Zip
96818

Assigns Condition Tier 1–4 from listing photos (gut / heavy / cosmetic / turnkey). Rehab $ comes from historical tier bands — not photo guessing. Usually ~30–90s.

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