Bid Check with my reno → — your rehab, stressed Bid $
Street locked · 78504 | $433,000 Flip Analysis — FlipScout
Ask
$433,000
$207/sqft
Bid $
$312,553
Max bid / MAO
Room
~$120,447 over max bid · 28% of ask
vs max bid
Verdict
WALK
Pass at list
Rehab
$93,978
$45/sqft
ARV
$302,812

Clearance (C) — bid physics. C = Bid $ ÷ Ask. We don't mint fake CLEARS. CLEARS · BID TARGET · WALK

Free: tape numbers + 3 Bid Checks/mo. Pro $15/mo: unlimited Bid Checks · streets + Deal Architecture.

Deal Architecture · Pro

Bid $ $312,553 · Ask $433,000

Walk-away max bid is free above — same math as the Bid/Pass Tape. Live waterfall, health, controls, and rehab bands unlock with Pro. We do not show a hollow OUR EDGE with empty dashes.

Flip math

Value-add ARV

ARV = adjusted list + (rehab × 1.5) · zip avm

Implied ARV $/sqft
Subject sqft2096 sqft
ARV$302,812
List− $433,000
Rehab− $93,978
Gross profit$-224,166

Contextual market baseline

Sold comps for neighborhood context — not the ARV formula · 3 sales · last 6 mo · zip 78504

Street locked · 78504 · SINGLE_FAMILY $388,293 · 2107 sqft
Street locked · 78504 · SINGLE_FAMILY $392,071 · 2062 sqft
Street locked · 78504 · SINGLE_FAMILY $379,000 · 2001 sqft

Net pro forma

Includes closing costs & 5.96-month carry

Buy closing (2%)$8,660
Holding carry$28,791
All-in capital$564,429
Sell costs (6%)− $18,169
Net proceeds$284,643
Net profit $-62,645
Photo triage & rehab band

Condition triage

Library estimate

No contractor assessment on file for this listing.

ML baseline rehab: $93,978

Baseline notes

Investor scope checklist

  • Kitchen cabinets/counters are primary value-add
  • Flooring and paint drive resale perception
  • Exterior curb appeal strongly impacts ARV
  • Mechanicals assumed functional; verify on inspection

Renovation budget

Total: $93,978
Kitchen — Full Replacement $48,000
Bathroom — Full Renovation $18,000
Interior Paint (2,096 sqft × $3.00) $6,288
Flooring — Hardwood Refinish (2,096 sqft × $4.50) $9,432
Contingency (15%) $12,258

Rehab from historical Condition Tier $/sqft band × subject sqft — not vision-invented GC quotes. Verify with a licensed contractor before closing.

Neighborhood & Apex

Trajectory: Stable

No enrichment data.

Apex breakdown

Threshold 85+ = Apex Hot

profit margin
15/100
35% weight
hidden repair risk
100/100
25% weight
neighborhood trajectory
60/100
25% weight
condition
50/100
15% weight
Beds
3
Baths
3.0
Sqft
2096
Zip
78504

Assigns Condition Tier 1–4 from listing photos (gut / heavy / cosmetic / turnkey). Rehab $ comes from historical tier bands — not photo guessing. Usually ~30–90s.

Similar flips

Same zip or nearby price band — Bid/Pass Tape rows

← Bid/Pass Tape