Bid Check with my reno → — your rehab, stressed Bid $
Street locked · 94553 | $529,900 Flip Analysis — FlipScout
Ask
$529,900
$445/sqft
Bid $
$410,761
Max bid / MAO
Room
~$119,139 over max bid · 22% of ask
vs max bid
Verdict
WALK
Pass at list
Rehab
$86,181
$72/sqft
ARV
$491,921

Clearance (C) — bid physics. C = Bid $ ÷ Ask. We don't mint fake CLEARS. CLEARS · BID TARGET · WALK

Free: tape numbers + 3 Bid Checks/mo. Pro $15/mo: unlimited Bid Checks · streets + Deal Architecture.

Deal Architecture · Pro

Bid $ $410,761 · Ask $529,900

Walk-away max bid is free above — same math as the Bid/Pass Tape. Live waterfall, health, controls, and rehab bands unlock with Pro. We do not show a hollow OUR EDGE with empty dashes.

Flip math

Value-add ARV

ARV = adjusted list + (rehab × 1.5) · zip avm

Implied ARV $/sqft
Subject sqft1192 sqft
ARV$491,921
List− $529,900
Rehab− $86,181
Gross profit$-124,160

Contextual market baseline

Sold comps for neighborhood context — not the ARV formula · 3 sales · last 6 mo · zip 94553

Street locked · 94553 · SINGLE_FAMILY $550,000 · 1194 sqft
Street locked · 94553 · SINGLE_FAMILY $565,000 · 1205 sqft
Street locked · 94553 · SINGLE_FAMILY $705,000 · 1207 sqft

Net pro forma

Includes closing costs & 2.45-month carry

Buy closing (2%)$10,598
Holding carry$13,836
All-in capital$640,515
Sell costs (6%)− $29,515
Net proceeds$462,405
Net profit $-47,029
Photo triage & rehab band

Condition triage

Library estimate

No contractor assessment on file for this listing.

ML baseline rehab: $86,181

Baseline notes

Investor scope checklist

  • Kitchen cabinets/counters are primary value-add
  • Flooring and paint drive resale perception
  • Exterior curb appeal strongly impacts ARV
  • Mechanicals assumed functional; verify on inspection

Renovation budget

Total: $86,181
Kitchen — Full Replacement $48,000
Bathroom — Full Renovation $18,000
Interior Paint (1,192 sqft × $3.00) $3,576
Flooring — Hardwood Refinish (1,192 sqft × $4.50) $5,364
Contingency (15%) $11,241

Rehab from historical Condition Tier $/sqft band × subject sqft — not vision-invented GC quotes. Verify with a licensed contractor before closing.

Neighborhood & Apex

Trajectory: Stable

No enrichment data.

Apex breakdown

Threshold 85+ = Apex Hot

profit margin
15/100
35% weight
hidden repair risk
100/100
25% weight
neighborhood trajectory
60/100
25% weight
condition
50/100
15% weight
Beds
2
Baths
3.0
Sqft
1192
Zip
94553

Assigns Condition Tier 1–4 from listing photos (gut / heavy / cosmetic / turnkey). Rehab $ comes from historical tier bands — not photo guessing. Usually ~30–90s.

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Same zip or nearby price band — Bid/Pass Tape rows

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