Bid Check with my reno → — your rehab, stressed Bid $
Street locked · 22407 | $470,000 Flip Analysis — FlipScout
Property photo 1 Property photo 2 Property photo 3 Property photo 4 Property photo 5
Ask
$470,000
$197/sqft
Bid $
$310,482
Max bid / MAO
Room
~$159,518 over max bid · 34% of ask
vs max bid
Verdict
WALK
Pass at list
Rehab
$59,600
$25/sqft
ARV
$483,535

Clearance (C) — bid physics. C = Bid $ ÷ Ask. We don't mint fake CLEARS. CLEARS · BID TARGET · WALK

Free: tape numbers + 3 Bid Checks/mo. Pro $15/mo: unlimited Bid Checks · streets + Deal Architecture.

Deal Architecture · Pro

Bid $ $310,482 · Ask $470,000

Walk-away max bid is free above — same math as the Bid/Pass Tape. Live waterfall, health, controls, and rehab bands unlock with Pro. We do not show a hollow OUR EDGE with empty dashes.

Go Pro $15/mo MAO calculator
Flip math

Value-add ARV

ARV = adjusted list + (rehab × 1.5) · zip avm

Implied ARV $/sqft
Subject sqft2384 sqft
ARV$483,535
List− $470,000
Rehab− $59,600
Gross profit$-46,065

Contextual market baseline

Sold comps for neighborhood context — not the ARV formula · 3 sales · last 6 mo · zip 22407

Street locked · 22407 · SINGLE_FAMILY $540,000 · 2383 sqft
Street locked · 22407 · SINGLE_FAMILY $550,000 · 2428 sqft
Street locked · 22407 · SINGLE_FAMILY $495,000 · 2634 sqft

Net pro forma

Includes closing costs & 3.31-month carry

Buy closing (2%)$9,400
Holding carry$14,261
All-in capital$553,261
Sell costs (6%)− $29,012
Net proceeds$454,523
Net profit $-109,240
Photo triage & rehab band

Condition triage

Library estimate

No contractor assessment on file for this listing.

ML baseline rehab: —

Baseline notes

Investor scope checklist

  • ▸Kitchen cabinets/counters are primary value-add
  • ▸Flooring and paint drive resale perception
  • ▸Exterior curb appeal strongly impacts ARV
  • ▸Mechanicals assumed functional; verify on inspection

Renovation budget

Total: $59,600
Renovation Budget (estimated) $59,600

Rehab from historical Condition Tier $/sqft band × subject sqft — not vision-invented GC quotes. Verify with a licensed contractor before closing.

Neighborhood & Apex

Trajectory: Stable

No enrichment data.

Apex breakdown

Threshold 85+ = Apex Hot

profit margin
40/100
35% weight
hidden repair risk
100/100
25% weight
neighborhood trajectory
60/100
25% weight
condition
50/100
15% weight
Beds
3
Baths
2.0
Sqft
2384
Zip
22407

Assigns Condition Tier 1–4 from listing photos (gut / heavy / cosmetic / turnkey). Rehab $ comes from historical tier bands — not photo guessing. Usually ~30–90s.

Similar flips

Same zip or nearby price band — Bid/Pass Tape rows

WALK Street locked · 22407

Street locked · 22407

Fredericksburg, VA 22407

Ask$515,000
Bid $$391,965
Room~$123,035 over max bid · 24% of ask
WALK Street locked · 22407

Street locked · 22407

Fredericksburg, VA 22407

Ask$525,000
Bid $$400,965
Room~$124,035 over max bid · 24% of ask
WALK Street locked · 22407

Street locked · 22407

Fredericksburg, VA 22407

Ask$694,990
Bid $$551,730
Room~$143,260 over max bid · 21% of ask
WALK Street locked · 22407

Street locked · 22407

Fredericksburg, VA 22407

Ask$500,000
Bid $$369,312
Room~$130,688 over max bid · 26% of ask
WALK Street locked · 22407

Street locked · 22407

Fredericksburg, VA 22407

Ask$775,000
Bid $$618,662
Room~$156,338 over max bid · 20% of ask
← Bid/Pass Tape