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Street locked · 95814 | $1,049,000 Flip Analysis — FlipScout
Property photo 1 Property photo 2 Property photo 3 Property photo 4 Property photo 5
Ask
$1,049,000
$366/sqft
Bid $
$782,179
Max bid / MAO
Room
~$266,821 over max bid · 25% of ask
vs max bid
Verdict
WALK
Pass at list
Rehab
$100,636
$35/sqft
ARV
$1,087,442

Clearance (C) — bid physics. C = Bid $ ÷ Ask. We don't mint fake CLEARS. CLEARS · BID TARGET · WALK

Free: tape numbers + 3 Bid Checks/mo. Pro $15/mo: unlimited Bid Checks · streets + Deal Architecture.

Deal Architecture · Pro

Bid $ $782,179 · Ask $1,049,000

Walk-away max bid is free above — same math as the Bid/Pass Tape. Live waterfall, health, controls, and rehab bands unlock with Pro. We do not show a hollow OUR EDGE with empty dashes.

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Flip math

Value-add ARV

ARV = adjusted list + (rehab × 1.5) · zip avm

Implied ARV $/sqft
Subject sqft2868 sqft
ARV$1,087,442
List− $1,049,000
Rehab− $100,636
Gross profit$-62,194

Contextual market baseline

Sold comps for neighborhood context — not the ARV formula · 3 sales · last 6 mo · zip 95814

Street locked · 95814 · MULTI_FAMILY $1,050,000 · 2875 sqft
Street locked · 95814 · MULTI_FAMILY $1,050,000 · 2824 sqft
Street locked · 95814 · MULTI_FAMILY $335,000 · 2928 sqft

Net pro forma

Includes closing costs & 4.53-month carry

Buy closing (2%)$20,980
Holding carry$47,739
All-in capital$1,218,355
Sell costs (6%)− $65,246
Net proceeds$1,022,195
Net profit $-141,235
Photo triage & rehab band

Condition triage

Library estimate

No contractor assessment on file for this listing.

ML baseline rehab: $100,636

Baseline notes

Investor scope checklist

  • ▸Kitchen cabinets/counters are primary value-add
  • ▸Flooring and paint drive resale perception
  • ▸Exterior curb appeal strongly impacts ARV
  • ▸Mechanicals assumed functional; verify on inspection

Renovation budget

Total: $100,636
Kitchen — Full Replacement $48,000
Bathroom — Full Renovation $18,000
Interior Paint (2,868 sqft × $3.00) $8,604
Flooring — Hardwood Refinish (2,868 sqft × $4.50) $12,906
Contingency (15%) $13,126

Rehab from historical Condition Tier $/sqft band × subject sqft — not vision-invented GC quotes. Verify with a licensed contractor before closing.

Neighborhood & Apex

Trajectory: Stable

No enrichment data.

Apex breakdown

Threshold 85+ = Apex Hot

profit margin
0/100
35% weight
hidden repair risk
100/100
25% weight
neighborhood trajectory
60/100
25% weight
condition
50/100
15% weight
Beds
4
Baths
10.0
Sqft
2868
Zip
95814

Assigns Condition Tier 1–4 from listing photos (gut / heavy / cosmetic / turnkey). Rehab $ comes from historical tier bands — not photo guessing. Usually ~30–90s.

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