Bid Check with my reno → — your rehab, stressed Bid $
Street locked · 85282 | $365,000 Flip Analysis — FlipScout
Property photo 1 Property photo 2 Property photo 3 Property photo 4 Property photo 5
Ask
$365,000
$214/sqft
Bid $
$252,314
Max bid / MAO
Room
~$112,686 over max bid · 31% of ask
vs max bid
Verdict
WALK
Pass at list
Rehab
$90,597
$53/sqft
ARV
$405,269

Clearance (C) — bid physics. C = Bid $ ÷ Ask. We don't mint fake CLEARS. CLEARS · BID TARGET · WALK

Free: tape numbers + 3 Bid Checks/mo. Pro $15/mo: unlimited Bid Checks · streets + Deal Architecture.

Deal Architecture · Pro

Bid $ $252,314 · Ask $365,000

Walk-away max bid is free above — same math as the Bid/Pass Tape. Live waterfall, health, controls, and rehab bands unlock with Pro. We do not show a hollow OUR EDGE with empty dashes.

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Flip math

Value-add ARV

ARV = adjusted list + (rehab × 1.5) · zip avm

Implied ARV $/sqft
Subject sqft1704 sqft
ARV$405,269
List− $365,000
Rehab− $90,597
Gross profit$-50,328

Contextual market baseline

Sold comps for neighborhood context — not the ARV formula · 3 sales · last 6 mo · zip 85282

Street locked · 85282 · SINGLE_FAMILY $530,000 · 1691 sqft
Street locked · 85282 · SINGLE_FAMILY $555,000 · 1733 sqft
Street locked · 85282 · SINGLE_FAMILY $599,900 · 1669 sqft

Net pro forma

Includes closing costs & 4.54-month carry

Buy closing (2%)$7,300
Holding carry$18,960
All-in capital$481,857
Sell costs (6%)− $24,316
Net proceeds$380,953
Net profit $-64,503
Photo triage & rehab band

Condition triage

Library estimate

No contractor assessment on file for this listing.

ML baseline rehab: $90,597

Baseline notes

Investor scope checklist

  • ▸Kitchen cabinets/counters are primary value-add
  • ▸Flooring and paint drive resale perception
  • ▸Exterior curb appeal strongly impacts ARV
  • ▸Mechanicals assumed functional; verify on inspection

Renovation budget

Total: $90,597
Kitchen — Full Replacement $48,000
Bathroom — Full Renovation $18,000
Interior Paint (1,704 sqft × $3.00) $5,112
Flooring — Hardwood Refinish (1,704 sqft × $4.50) $7,668
Contingency (15%) $11,817

Rehab from historical Condition Tier $/sqft band × subject sqft — not vision-invented GC quotes. Verify with a licensed contractor before closing.

Neighborhood & Apex

Trajectory: Stable

No enrichment data.

Apex breakdown

Threshold 85+ = Apex Hot

profit margin
15/100
35% weight
hidden repair risk
100/100
25% weight
neighborhood trajectory
60/100
25% weight
condition
50/100
15% weight
Beds
3
Baths
3.0
Sqft
1704
Zip
85282

Assigns Condition Tier 1–4 from listing photos (gut / heavy / cosmetic / turnkey). Rehab $ comes from historical tier bands — not photo guessing. Usually ~30–90s.

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