Bid Check with my reno → — your rehab, stressed Bid $
Street locked · 85204 | $397,000 Flip Analysis — FlipScout
Ask
$397,000
$344/sqft
Bid $
$286,881
Max bid / MAO
Room
~$110,119 over max bid · 28% of ask
vs max bid
Verdict
WALK
Pass at list
Rehab
$85,844
$74/sqft
ARV
$225,342

Clearance (C) — bid physics. C = Bid $ ÷ Ask. We don't mint fake CLEARS. CLEARS · BID TARGET · WALK

Free: tape numbers + 3 Bid Checks/mo. Pro $15/mo: unlimited Bid Checks · streets + Deal Architecture.

Deal Architecture · Pro

Bid $ $286,881 · Ask $397,000

Walk-away max bid is free above — same math as the Bid/Pass Tape. Live waterfall, health, controls, and rehab bands unlock with Pro. We do not show a hollow OUR EDGE with empty dashes.

Flip math

Value-add ARV

ARV = adjusted list + (rehab × 1.5) · zip avm

Implied ARV $/sqft
Subject sqft1153 sqft
ARV$225,342
List− $397,000
Rehab− $85,844
Gross profit$-257,502

Contextual market baseline

Sold comps for neighborhood context — not the ARV formula · 3 sales · last 6 mo · zip 85204

Street locked · 85204 · MOBILE $150,000 · 1120 sqft
Street locked · 85204 · SINGLE_FAMILY $325,000 · 1106 sqft
Street locked · 85204 · SINGLE_FAMILY $60,500 · 1092 sqft

Net pro forma

Includes closing costs & 14.43-month carry

Buy closing (2%)$7,940
Holding carry$63,868
All-in capital$554,652
Sell costs (6%)− $13,521
Net proceeds$211,822
Net profit $-57,107
Photo triage & rehab band

Condition triage

Library estimate

No contractor assessment on file for this listing.

ML baseline rehab: $85,844

Baseline notes

Investor scope checklist

  • Kitchen cabinets/counters are primary value-add
  • Flooring and paint drive resale perception
  • Exterior curb appeal strongly impacts ARV
  • Mechanicals assumed functional; verify on inspection

Renovation budget

Total: $85,844
Kitchen — Full Replacement $48,000
Bathroom — Full Renovation $18,000
Interior Paint (1,153 sqft × $3.00) $3,459
Flooring — Hardwood Refinish (1,153 sqft × $4.50) $5,188
Contingency (15%) $11,197

Rehab from historical Condition Tier $/sqft band × subject sqft — not vision-invented GC quotes. Verify with a licensed contractor before closing.

Neighborhood & Apex

Trajectory: Stable

No enrichment data.

Apex breakdown

Threshold 85+ = Apex Hot

profit margin
15/100
35% weight
hidden repair risk
100/100
25% weight
neighborhood trajectory
60/100
25% weight
condition
50/100
15% weight
Beds
3
Baths
2.0
Sqft
1153
Zip
85204

Assigns Condition Tier 1–4 from listing photos (gut / heavy / cosmetic / turnkey). Rehab $ comes from historical tier bands — not photo guessing. Usually ~30–90s.

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