Bid Check with my reno → — your rehab, stressed Bid $
Street locked · 85254 | $299,900 Flip Analysis — FlipScout
Property photo 1 Property photo 2 Property photo 3 Property photo 4 Property photo 5
Ask
$299,900
$388/sqft
Bid $
$199,352
Max bid / MAO
Room
~$100,548 over max bid · 34% of ask
vs max bid
Verdict
WALK
Pass at list
Rehab
$82,558
$107/sqft
ARV
$321,896

Clearance (C) — bid physics. C = Bid $ ÷ Ask. We don't mint fake CLEARS. CLEARS · BID TARGET · WALK

Free: tape numbers + 3 Bid Checks/mo. Pro $15/mo: unlimited Bid Checks · streets + Deal Architecture.

Deal Architecture · Pro

Bid $ $199,352 · Ask $299,900

Walk-away max bid is free above — same math as the Bid/Pass Tape. Live waterfall, health, controls, and rehab bands unlock with Pro. We do not show a hollow OUR EDGE with empty dashes.

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Flip math

Value-add ARV

ARV = adjusted list + (rehab × 1.5) · zip avm

Implied ARV $/sqft
Subject sqft772 sqft
ARV$321,896
List− $299,900
Rehab− $82,558
Gross profit$-60,562

Contextual market baseline

Sold comps for neighborhood context — not the ARV formula · 3 sales · last 6 mo · zip 85254

Street locked · 85254 · CONDOS $235,000 · 680 sqft
Street locked · 85254 · CONDOS $727,000 · 865 sqft
Street locked · 85254 · CONDOS $355,000 · 1056 sqft

Net pro forma

Includes closing costs & 6.2-month carry

Buy closing (2%)$5,998
Holding carry$21,736
All-in capital$410,192
Sell costs (6%)− $19,314
Net proceeds$302,582
Net profit $-61,345
Photo triage & rehab band

Condition triage

Library estimate

No contractor assessment on file for this listing.

ML baseline rehab: $82,558

Baseline notes

Investor scope checklist

  • ▸Kitchen cabinets/counters are primary value-add
  • ▸Flooring and paint drive resale perception
  • ▸Exterior curb appeal strongly impacts ARV
  • ▸Mechanicals assumed functional; verify on inspection

Renovation budget

Total: $82,558
Kitchen — Full Replacement $48,000
Bathroom — Full Renovation $18,000
Interior Paint (772 sqft × $3.00) $2,316
Flooring — Hardwood Refinish (772 sqft × $4.50) $3,474
Contingency (15%) $10,768

Rehab from historical Condition Tier $/sqft band × subject sqft — not vision-invented GC quotes. Verify with a licensed contractor before closing.

Neighborhood & Apex

Trajectory: Stable

No enrichment data.

Apex breakdown

Threshold 85+ = Apex Hot

profit margin
15/100
35% weight
hidden repair risk
100/100
25% weight
neighborhood trajectory
60/100
25% weight
condition
50/100
15% weight
Beds
1
Baths
1.0
Sqft
772
Zip
85254

Assigns Condition Tier 1–4 from listing photos (gut / heavy / cosmetic / turnkey). Rehab $ comes from historical tier bands — not photo guessing. Usually ~30–90s.

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