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Street locked · 85018 | $285,000 Flip Analysis — FlipScout
Property photo 1 Property photo 2 Property photo 3 Property photo 4 Property photo 5
Ask
$285,000
$271/sqft
Bid $
$256,438
Max bid / MAO
Room
~$28,562 over max bid · 10% of ask
vs max bid
Verdict
BID TARGET
Negotiate to $256,438
Rehab
$26,250
$25/sqft
ARV
$369,844

Clearance (C) — bid physics. C = Bid $ ÷ Ask. We don't mint fake CLEARS. CLEARS · BID TARGET · WALK

Free: tape numbers + 3 Bid Checks/mo. Pro $15/mo: unlimited Bid Checks · streets + Deal Architecture.

Deal Architecture · Pro

Bid $ $256,438 · Ask $285,000

Walk-away max bid is free above — same math as the Bid/Pass Tape. Live waterfall, health, controls, and rehab bands unlock with Pro. We do not show a hollow OUR EDGE with empty dashes.

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Flip math

Value-add ARV

ARV = adjusted list + (rehab × 1.5) · zip avm

Implied ARV $/sqft
Subject sqft1050 sqft
ARV$369,844
List− $285,000
Rehab− $26,250
Gross profit$58,594

Contextual market baseline

Sold comps for neighborhood context — not the ARV formula · 3 sales · last 6 mo · zip 85018

Street locked · 85018 · TOWNHOMES $412,000 · 1052 sqft
Street locked · 85018 · TOWNHOMES $445,000 · 1024 sqft
Street locked · 85018 · CONDOS $200,000 · 982 sqft

Net pro forma

Includes closing costs & 4.4-month carry

Buy closing (2%)$5,700
Holding carry$11,495
All-in capital$328,445
Sell costs (6%)− $22,191
Net proceeds$347,654
Net profit $14,432
Photo triage & rehab band

Condition triage

Library estimate

No contractor assessment on file for this listing.

ML baseline rehab: —

Baseline notes

Investor scope checklist

  • ▸Kitchen cabinets/counters are primary value-add
  • ▸Flooring and paint drive resale perception
  • ▸Exterior curb appeal strongly impacts ARV
  • ▸Mechanicals assumed functional; verify on inspection

Renovation budget

Total: $26,250
Renovation Budget (estimated) $26,250

Rehab from historical Condition Tier $/sqft band × subject sqft — not vision-invented GC quotes. Verify with a licensed contractor before closing.

Neighborhood & Apex

Trajectory: Stable

No enrichment data.

Apex breakdown

Threshold 85+ = Apex Hot

profit margin
40/100
35% weight
hidden repair risk
100/100
25% weight
neighborhood trajectory
60/100
25% weight
condition
50/100
15% weight
Beds
3
Baths
2.0
Sqft
1050
Zip
85018

Assigns Condition Tier 1–4 from listing photos (gut / heavy / cosmetic / turnkey). Rehab $ comes from historical tier bands — not photo guessing. Usually ~30–90s.

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