Bid Check with my reno → — your rehab, stressed Bid $
Street locked · 85018 | $409,000 Flip Analysis — FlipScout
Property photo 1 Property photo 2 Property photo 3 Property photo 4 Property photo 5
Ask
$409,000
$358/sqft
Bid $
$332,773
Max bid / MAO
Room
~$76,227 over max bid · 19% of ask
vs max bid
Verdict
WALK
Pass at list
Rehab
$28,525
$25/sqft
ARV
$472,820

Clearance (C) — bid physics. C = Bid $ ÷ Ask. We don't mint fake CLEARS. CLEARS · BID TARGET · WALK

Free: tape numbers + 3 Bid Checks/mo. Pro $15/mo: unlimited Bid Checks · streets + Deal Architecture.

Deal Architecture · Pro

Bid $ $332,773 · Ask $409,000

Walk-away max bid is free above — same math as the Bid/Pass Tape. Live waterfall, health, controls, and rehab bands unlock with Pro. We do not show a hollow OUR EDGE with empty dashes.

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Flip math

Value-add ARV

ARV = adjusted list + (rehab × 1.5) · zip avm

Implied ARV $/sqft
Subject sqft1141 sqft
ARV$472,820
List− $409,000
Rehab− $28,525
Gross profit$35,295

Contextual market baseline

Sold comps for neighborhood context — not the ARV formula · 3 sales · last 6 mo · zip 85018

Street locked · 85018 · TOWNHOMES $382,000 · 1200 sqft
Street locked · 85018 · SINGLE_FAMILY $600,000 · 1215 sqft
Street locked · 85018 · TOWNHOMES $412,000 · 1052 sqft

Net pro forma

Includes closing costs & 3.63-month carry

Buy closing (2%)$8,180
Holding carry$13,609
All-in capital$459,314
Sell costs (6%)− $28,369
Net proceeds$444,451
Net profit $-23,190
Photo triage & rehab band

Condition triage

Library estimate

No contractor assessment on file for this listing.

ML baseline rehab: —

Baseline notes

Investor scope checklist

  • ▸Kitchen cabinets/counters are primary value-add
  • ▸Flooring and paint drive resale perception
  • ▸Exterior curb appeal strongly impacts ARV
  • ▸Mechanicals assumed functional; verify on inspection

Renovation budget

Total: $28,525
Renovation Budget (estimated) $28,525

Rehab from historical Condition Tier $/sqft band × subject sqft — not vision-invented GC quotes. Verify with a licensed contractor before closing.

Neighborhood & Apex

Trajectory: Stable

No enrichment data.

Apex breakdown

Threshold 85+ = Apex Hot

profit margin
40/100
35% weight
hidden repair risk
100/100
25% weight
neighborhood trajectory
60/100
25% weight
condition
50/100
15% weight
Beds
2
Baths
2.0
Sqft
1141
Zip
85018

Assigns Condition Tier 1–4 from listing photos (gut / heavy / cosmetic / turnkey). Rehab $ comes from historical tier bands — not photo guessing. Usually ~30–90s.

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