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Street locked · 01453 | $649,900 Flip Analysis — FlipScout
Ask
$649,900
$391/sqft
Bid $
$486,764
Max bid / MAO
Room
~$163,136 over max bid · 25% of ask
vs max bid
Verdict
WALK
Pass at list
Rehab
$90,252
$54/sqft
ARV
$377,322

Clearance (C) — bid physics. C = Bid $ ÷ Ask. We don't mint fake CLEARS. CLEARS · BID TARGET · WALK

Free: tape numbers + 3 Bid Checks/mo. Pro $15/mo: unlimited Bid Checks · streets + Deal Architecture.

Deal Architecture · Pro

Bid $ $486,764 · Ask $649,900

Walk-away max bid is free above — same math as the Bid/Pass Tape. Live waterfall, health, controls, and rehab bands unlock with Pro. We do not show a hollow OUR EDGE with empty dashes.

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Flip math

Value-add ARV

ARV = adjusted list + (rehab × 1.5) · zip avm

Implied ARV $/sqft
Subject sqft1664 sqft
ARV$377,322
List− $649,900
Rehab− $90,252
Gross profit$-362,830

Contextual market baseline

Sold comps for neighborhood context — not the ARV formula · 3 sales · last 6 mo · zip 01453

Street locked · 01453 · SINGLE_FAMILY $475,000 · 1621 sqft
Street locked · 01453 · SINGLE_FAMILY $480,000 · 1712 sqft
Street locked · 01453 · SINGLE_FAMILY $460,000 · 1602 sqft

Net pro forma

Includes closing costs & 3.6-month carry

Buy closing (2%)$12,998
Holding carry$24,425
All-in capital$777,575
Sell costs (6%)− $22,639
Net proceeds$354,683
Net profit $-80,581
Photo triage & rehab band

Condition triage

Library estimate

No contractor assessment on file for this listing.

ML baseline rehab: $90,252

Baseline notes

Investor scope checklist

  • ▸Kitchen cabinets/counters are primary value-add
  • ▸Flooring and paint drive resale perception
  • ▸Exterior curb appeal strongly impacts ARV
  • ▸Mechanicals assumed functional; verify on inspection

Renovation budget

Total: $90,252
Kitchen — Full Replacement $48,000
Bathroom — Full Renovation $18,000
Interior Paint (1,664 sqft × $3.00) $4,992
Flooring — Hardwood Refinish (1,664 sqft × $4.50) $7,488
Contingency (15%) $11,772

Rehab from historical Condition Tier $/sqft band × subject sqft — not vision-invented GC quotes. Verify with a licensed contractor before closing.

Neighborhood & Apex

Trajectory: Stable

No enrichment data.

Apex breakdown

Threshold 85+ = Apex Hot

profit margin
4/100
35% weight
hidden repair risk
100/100
25% weight
neighborhood trajectory
60/100
25% weight
condition
50/100
15% weight
Beds
3
Baths
3.0
Sqft
1664
Zip
01453

Assigns Condition Tier 1–4 from listing photos (gut / heavy / cosmetic / turnkey). Rehab $ comes from historical tier bands — not photo guessing. Usually ~30–90s.

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