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Street locked · 01453 | $649,900 Flip Analysis — FlipScout
Property photo 1 Property photo 2 Property photo 3 Property photo 4 Property photo 5
Ask
$649,900
$265/sqft
Bid $
$512,244
Max bid / MAO
Room
~$137,656 over max bid · 21% of ask
vs max bid
Verdict
WALK
Pass at list
Rehab
$97,066
$40/sqft
ARV
$556,460

Clearance (C) — bid physics. C = Bid $ ÷ Ask. We don't mint fake CLEARS. CLEARS · BID TARGET · WALK

Free: tape numbers + 3 Bid Checks/mo. Pro $15/mo: unlimited Bid Checks · streets + Deal Architecture.

Deal Architecture · Pro

Bid $ $512,244 · Ask $649,900

Walk-away max bid is free above — same math as the Bid/Pass Tape. Live waterfall, health, controls, and rehab bands unlock with Pro. We do not show a hollow OUR EDGE with empty dashes.

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Flip math

Value-add ARV

ARV = adjusted list + (rehab × 1.5) · zip avm

Implied ARV $/sqft
Subject sqft2454 sqft
ARV$556,460
List− $649,900
Rehab− $97,066
Gross profit$-190,506

Contextual market baseline

Sold comps for neighborhood context — not the ARV formula · 3 sales · last 6 mo · zip 01453

Street locked · 01453 · SINGLE_FAMILY $560,000 · 2382 sqft
Street locked · 01453 · SINGLE_FAMILY $670,000 · 2272 sqft
Street locked · 01453 · MULTI_FAMILY $425,000 · 2653 sqft

Net pro forma

Includes closing costs & 2.89-month carry

Buy closing (2%)$12,998
Holding carry$19,788
All-in capital$779,752
Sell costs (6%)− $33,388
Net proceeds$523,072
Net profit $-48,806
Photo triage & rehab band

Condition triage

Library estimate

No contractor assessment on file for this listing.

ML baseline rehab: $97,066

Baseline notes

Investor scope checklist

  • ▸Kitchen cabinets/counters are primary value-add
  • ▸Flooring and paint drive resale perception
  • ▸Exterior curb appeal strongly impacts ARV
  • ▸Mechanicals assumed functional; verify on inspection

Renovation budget

Total: $97,066
Kitchen — Full Replacement $48,000
Bathroom — Full Renovation $18,000
Interior Paint (2,454 sqft × $3.00) $7,362
Flooring — Hardwood Refinish (2,454 sqft × $4.50) $11,043
Contingency (15%) $12,661

Rehab from historical Condition Tier $/sqft band × subject sqft — not vision-invented GC quotes. Verify with a licensed contractor before closing.

Neighborhood & Apex

Trajectory: Stable

No enrichment data.

Apex breakdown

Threshold 85+ = Apex Hot

profit margin
15/100
35% weight
hidden repair risk
100/100
25% weight
neighborhood trajectory
60/100
25% weight
condition
50/100
15% weight
Beds
4
Baths
4.0
Sqft
2454
Zip
01453

Assigns Condition Tier 1–4 from listing photos (gut / heavy / cosmetic / turnkey). Rehab $ comes from historical tier bands — not photo guessing. Usually ~30–90s.

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