Bid Check with my reno → — your rehab, stressed Bid $
Street locked · 85251 | $239,000 Flip Analysis — FlipScout
Ask
$239,000
$242/sqft
Bid $
$220,122
Max bid / MAO
Room
~$18,878 over max bid · 8% of ask
vs max bid
Verdict
BID TARGET
Negotiate to $220,122
Rehab
$24,650
$25/sqft
ARV
$320,190

Clearance (C) — bid physics. C = Bid $ ÷ Ask. We don't mint fake CLEARS. CLEARS · BID TARGET · WALK

Free: tape numbers + 3 Bid Checks/mo. Pro $15/mo: unlimited Bid Checks · streets + Deal Architecture.

Deal Architecture · Pro

Bid $ $220,122 · Ask $239,000

Walk-away max bid is free above — same math as the Bid/Pass Tape. Live waterfall, health, controls, and rehab bands unlock with Pro. We do not show a hollow OUR EDGE with empty dashes.

Flip math

Value-add ARV

ARV = adjusted list + (rehab × 1.5) · zip avm

Implied ARV $/sqft
Subject sqft986 sqft
ARV$320,190
List− $239,000
Rehab− $24,650
Gross profit$56,540

Contextual market baseline

Sold comps for neighborhood context — not the ARV formula · 3 sales · last 6 mo · zip 85251

Street locked · 85251 · CONDOS $245,000 · 986 sqft
Street locked · 85251 · CONDOS $301,000 · 919 sqft
Street locked · 85251 · TOWNHOMES $259,000 · 904 sqft

Net pro forma

Includes closing costs & 4.82-month carry

Buy closing (2%)$4,780
Holding carry$10,560
All-in capital$278,990
Sell costs (6%)− $19,211
Net proceeds$300,978
Net profit $18,629
Photo triage & rehab band

Condition triage

Library estimate

No contractor assessment on file for this listing.

ML baseline rehab:

Baseline notes

Investor scope checklist

  • Kitchen cabinets/counters are primary value-add
  • Flooring and paint drive resale perception
  • Exterior curb appeal strongly impacts ARV
  • Mechanicals assumed functional; verify on inspection

Renovation budget

Total: $24,650
Renovation Budget (estimated) $24,650

Rehab from historical Condition Tier $/sqft band × subject sqft — not vision-invented GC quotes. Verify with a licensed contractor before closing.

Neighborhood & Apex

Trajectory: Stable

No enrichment data.

Apex breakdown

Threshold 85+ = Apex Hot

profit margin
40/100
35% weight
hidden repair risk
100/100
25% weight
neighborhood trajectory
60/100
25% weight
condition
50/100
15% weight
Beds
2
Baths
2.0
Sqft
986
Zip
85251

Assigns Condition Tier 1–4 from listing photos (gut / heavy / cosmetic / turnkey). Rehab $ comes from historical tier bands — not photo guessing. Usually ~30–90s.

Similar flips

Same zip or nearby price band — Bid/Pass Tape rows

← Bid/Pass Tape