Bid Check with my reno → — your rehab, stressed Bid $
Street locked · 94565 | $411,500 Flip Analysis — FlipScout
Ask
$411,500
$340/sqft
Bid $
$299,960
Max bid / MAO
Room
~$111,540 over max bid · 27% of ask
vs max bid
Verdict
WALK
Pass at list
Rehab
$86,327
$71/sqft
ARV
$380,898

Clearance (C) — bid physics. C = Bid $ ÷ Ask. We don't mint fake CLEARS. CLEARS · BID TARGET · WALK

Free: tape numbers + 3 Bid Checks/mo. Pro $15/mo: unlimited Bid Checks · streets + Deal Architecture.

Deal Architecture · Pro

Bid $ $299,960 · Ask $411,500

Walk-away max bid is free above — same math as the Bid/Pass Tape. Live waterfall, health, controls, and rehab bands unlock with Pro. We do not show a hollow OUR EDGE with empty dashes.

Flip math

Value-add ARV

ARV = adjusted list + (rehab × 1.5) · zip avm

Implied ARV $/sqft
Subject sqft1209 sqft
ARV$380,898
List− $411,500
Rehab− $86,327
Gross profit$-116,929

Contextual market baseline

Sold comps for neighborhood context — not the ARV formula · 3 sales · last 6 mo · zip 94565

Street locked · 94565 · SINGLE_FAMILY $415,000 · 1209 sqft
Street locked · 94565 · SINGLE_FAMILY $265,000 · 1155 sqft
Street locked · 94565 · SINGLE_FAMILY $230,000 · 1293 sqft

Net pro forma

Includes closing costs & 3.2-month carry

Buy closing (2%)$8,230
Holding carry$14,603
All-in capital$520,660
Sell costs (6%)− $22,854
Net proceeds$358,045
Net profit $-56,466
Photo triage & rehab band

Condition triage

Library estimate

No contractor assessment on file for this listing.

ML baseline rehab: $86,327

Baseline notes

Investor scope checklist

  • Kitchen cabinets/counters are primary value-add
  • Flooring and paint drive resale perception
  • Exterior curb appeal strongly impacts ARV
  • Mechanicals assumed functional; verify on inspection

Renovation budget

Total: $86,327
Kitchen — Full Replacement $48,000
Bathroom — Full Renovation $18,000
Interior Paint (1,209 sqft × $3.00) $3,627
Flooring — Hardwood Refinish (1,209 sqft × $4.50) $5,440
Contingency (15%) $11,260

Rehab from historical Condition Tier $/sqft band × subject sqft — not vision-invented GC quotes. Verify with a licensed contractor before closing.

Neighborhood & Apex

Trajectory: Stable

No enrichment data.

Apex breakdown

Threshold 85+ = Apex Hot

profit margin
15/100
35% weight
hidden repair risk
100/100
25% weight
neighborhood trajectory
60/100
25% weight
condition
50/100
15% weight
Beds
2
Baths
1.0
Sqft
1209
Zip
94565

Assigns Condition Tier 1–4 from listing photos (gut / heavy / cosmetic / turnkey). Rehab $ comes from historical tier bands — not photo guessing. Usually ~30–90s.

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Same zip or nearby price band — Bid/Pass Tape rows

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