Bid Check with my reno → — your rehab, stressed Bid $
Street locked · 85016 | $475,000 Flip Analysis — FlipScout
Property photo 1 Property photo 2 Property photo 3 Property photo 4 Property photo 5
Ask
$475,000
$308/sqft
Bid $
$368,457
Max bid / MAO
Room
~$106,543 over max bid · 22% of ask
vs max bid
Verdict
WALK
Pass at list
Rehab
$38,600
$25/sqft
ARV
$532,537

Clearance (C) — bid physics. C = Bid $ ÷ Ask. We don't mint fake CLEARS. CLEARS · BID TARGET · WALK

Free: tape numbers + 3 Bid Checks/mo. Pro $15/mo: unlimited Bid Checks · streets + Deal Architecture.

Deal Architecture · Pro

Bid $ $368,457 · Ask $475,000

Walk-away max bid is free above — same math as the Bid/Pass Tape. Live waterfall, health, controls, and rehab bands unlock with Pro. We do not show a hollow OUR EDGE with empty dashes.

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Flip math

Value-add ARV

ARV = adjusted list + (rehab × 1.5) · zip avm

Implied ARV $/sqft
Subject sqft1544 sqft
ARV$532,537
List− $475,000
Rehab− $38,600
Gross profit$18,937

Contextual market baseline

Sold comps for neighborhood context — not the ARV formula · 3 sales · last 6 mo · zip 85016

Street locked · 85016 · TOWNHOMES $270,000 · 1496 sqft
Street locked · 85016 · SINGLE_FAMILY $810,000 · 1654 sqft
Street locked · 85016 · SINGLE_FAMILY $507,000 · 1702 sqft

Net pro forma

Includes closing costs & 6.97-month carry

Buy closing (2%)$9,500
Holding carry$30,349
All-in capital$553,449
Sell costs (6%)− $31,952
Net proceeds$500,585
Net profit $-47,813
Photo triage & rehab band

Condition triage

Library estimate

No contractor assessment on file for this listing.

ML baseline rehab: —

Baseline notes

Investor scope checklist

  • ▸Kitchen cabinets/counters are primary value-add
  • ▸Flooring and paint drive resale perception
  • ▸Exterior curb appeal strongly impacts ARV
  • ▸Mechanicals assumed functional; verify on inspection

Renovation budget

Total: $38,600
Renovation Budget (estimated) $38,600

Rehab from historical Condition Tier $/sqft band × subject sqft — not vision-invented GC quotes. Verify with a licensed contractor before closing.

Neighborhood & Apex

Trajectory: Stable

No enrichment data.

Apex breakdown

Threshold 85+ = Apex Hot

profit margin
40/100
35% weight
hidden repair risk
100/100
25% weight
neighborhood trajectory
60/100
25% weight
condition
50/100
15% weight
Beds
3
Baths
2.0
Sqft
1544
Zip
85016

Assigns Condition Tier 1–4 from listing photos (gut / heavy / cosmetic / turnkey). Rehab $ comes from historical tier bands — not photo guessing. Usually ~30–90s.

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