Bid Check with my reno → — your rehab, stressed Bid $
Street locked · 77450 | $469,500 Flip Analysis — FlipScout
Ask
$469,500
$164/sqft
Bid $
$340,113
Max bid / MAO
Room
~$129,387 over max bid · 28% of ask
vs max bid
Verdict
WALK
Pass at list
Rehab
$100,663
$35/sqft
ARV
$416,510

Clearance (C) — bid physics. C = Bid $ ÷ Ask. We don't mint fake CLEARS. CLEARS · BID TARGET · WALK

Free: tape numbers + 3 Bid Checks/mo. Pro $15/mo: unlimited Bid Checks · streets + Deal Architecture.

Deal Architecture · Pro

Bid $ $340,113 · Ask $469,500

Walk-away max bid is free above — same math as the Bid/Pass Tape. Live waterfall, health, controls, and rehab bands unlock with Pro. We do not show a hollow OUR EDGE with empty dashes.

Flip math

Value-add ARV

ARV = adjusted list + (rehab × 1.5) · zip avm

Implied ARV $/sqft
Subject sqft2871 sqft
ARV$416,510
List− $469,500
Rehab− $100,663
Gross profit$-153,653

Contextual market baseline

Sold comps for neighborhood context — not the ARV formula · 3 sales · last 6 mo · zip 77450

Street locked · 77450 · SINGLE_FAMILY $480,000 · 2925 sqft
Street locked · 77450 · SINGLE_FAMILY $430,000 · 2796 sqft
Street locked · 77450 · SINGLE_FAMILY $375,000 · 3120 sqft

Net pro forma

Includes closing costs & 3.11-month carry

Buy closing (2%)$9,390
Holding carry$16,254
All-in capital$595,807
Sell costs (6%)− $24,991
Net proceeds$391,520
Net profit $-66,654
Photo triage & rehab band

Condition triage

Library estimate

No contractor assessment on file for this listing.

ML baseline rehab: $100,663

Baseline notes

Investor scope checklist

  • Kitchen cabinets/counters are primary value-add
  • Flooring and paint drive resale perception
  • Exterior curb appeal strongly impacts ARV
  • Mechanicals assumed functional; verify on inspection

Renovation budget

Total: $100,663
Kitchen — Full Replacement $48,000
Bathroom — Full Renovation $18,000
Interior Paint (2,871 sqft × $3.00) $8,613
Flooring — Hardwood Refinish (2,871 sqft × $4.50) $12,920
Contingency (15%) $13,130

Rehab from historical Condition Tier $/sqft band × subject sqft — not vision-invented GC quotes. Verify with a licensed contractor before closing.

Neighborhood & Apex

Trajectory: Stable

No enrichment data.

Apex breakdown

Threshold 85+ = Apex Hot

profit margin
15/100
35% weight
hidden repair risk
100/100
25% weight
neighborhood trajectory
60/100
25% weight
condition
50/100
15% weight
Beds
4
Baths
3.0
Sqft
2871
Zip
77450

Assigns Condition Tier 1–4 from listing photos (gut / heavy / cosmetic / turnkey). Rehab $ comes from historical tier bands — not photo guessing. Usually ~30–90s.

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