Bid Check with my reno → — your rehab, stressed Bid $
Street locked · 85008 | $420,000 Flip Analysis — FlipScout
Ask
$420,000
$298/sqft
Bid $
$306,221
Max bid / MAO
Room
~$113,779 over max bid · 27% of ask
vs max bid
Verdict
WALK
Pass at list
Rehab
$88,044
$63/sqft
ARV
$745,973

Clearance (C) — bid physics. C = Bid $ ÷ Ask. We don't mint fake CLEARS. CLEARS · BID TARGET · WALK

Free: tape numbers + 3 Bid Checks/mo. Pro $15/mo: unlimited Bid Checks · streets + Deal Architecture.

Deal Architecture · Pro

Bid $ $306,221 · Ask $420,000

Walk-away max bid is free above — same math as the Bid/Pass Tape. Live waterfall, health, controls, and rehab bands unlock with Pro. We do not show a hollow OUR EDGE with empty dashes.

Flip math

Value-add ARV

ARV = adjusted list + (rehab × 1.5) · zip avm

Implied ARV $/sqft
Subject sqft1408 sqft
ARV$745,973
List− $420,000
Rehab− $88,044
Gross profit$237,929

Contextual market baseline

Sold comps for neighborhood context — not the ARV formula · 3 sales · last 6 mo · zip 85008

Street locked · 85008 · SINGLE_FAMILY $290,000 · 1414 sqft
Street locked · 85008 · SINGLE_FAMILY $410,000 · 1419 sqft
Street locked · 85008 · SINGLE_FAMILY $895,000 · 1420 sqft

Net pro forma

Includes closing costs & 5.43-month carry

Buy closing (2%)$8,400
Holding carry$25,288
All-in capital$541,732
Sell costs (6%)− $44,758
Net proceeds$701,215
Net profit $-57,564
Photo triage & rehab band

Condition triage

Library estimate

No contractor assessment on file for this listing.

ML baseline rehab: $88,044

Baseline notes

Investor scope checklist

  • Kitchen cabinets/counters are primary value-add
  • Flooring and paint drive resale perception
  • Exterior curb appeal strongly impacts ARV
  • Mechanicals assumed functional; verify on inspection

Renovation budget

Total: $88,044
Kitchen — Full Replacement $48,000
Bathroom — Full Renovation $18,000
Interior Paint (1,408 sqft × $3.00) $4,224
Flooring — Hardwood Refinish (1,408 sqft × $4.50) $6,336
Contingency (15%) $11,484

Rehab from historical Condition Tier $/sqft band × subject sqft — not vision-invented GC quotes. Verify with a licensed contractor before closing.

Neighborhood & Apex

Trajectory: Stable

No enrichment data.

Apex breakdown

Threshold 85+ = Apex Hot

profit margin
15/100
35% weight
hidden repair risk
100/100
25% weight
neighborhood trajectory
60/100
25% weight
condition
50/100
15% weight
Beds
3
Baths
2.0
Sqft
1408
Zip
85008

Assigns Condition Tier 1–4 from listing photos (gut / heavy / cosmetic / turnkey). Rehab $ comes from historical tier bands — not photo guessing. Usually ~30–90s.

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Same zip or nearby price band — Bid/Pass Tape rows

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