Bid Check with my reno → — your rehab, stressed Bid $
Street locked · 22407 | $440,000 Flip Analysis — FlipScout
Property photo 1 Property photo 2 Property photo 3 Property photo 4 Property photo 5
Ask
$440,000
$249/sqft
Bid $
$321,852
Max bid / MAO
Room
~$118,148 over max bid · 27% of ask
vs max bid
Verdict
WALK
Pass at list
Rehab
$91,166
$52/sqft
ARV
$349,987

Clearance (C) — bid physics. C = Bid $ ÷ Ask. We don't mint fake CLEARS. CLEARS · BID TARGET · WALK

Free: tape numbers + 3 Bid Checks/mo. Pro $15/mo: unlimited Bid Checks · streets + Deal Architecture.

Deal Architecture · Pro

Bid $ $321,852 · Ask $440,000

Walk-away max bid is free above — same math as the Bid/Pass Tape. Live waterfall, health, controls, and rehab bands unlock with Pro. We do not show a hollow OUR EDGE with empty dashes.

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Flip math

Value-add ARV

ARV = adjusted list + (rehab × 1.5) · zip avm

Implied ARV $/sqft
Subject sqft1770 sqft
ARV$349,987
List− $440,000
Rehab− $91,166
Gross profit$-181,179

Contextual market baseline

Sold comps for neighborhood context — not the ARV formula · 3 sales · last 6 mo · zip 22407

Street locked · 22407 · SINGLE_FAMILY $505,000 · 1768 sqft
Street locked · 22407 · SINGLE_FAMILY $445,000 · 1752 sqft
Street locked · 22407 · SINGLE_FAMILY $385,000 · 1814 sqft

Net pro forma

Includes closing costs & 3.21-month carry

Buy closing (2%)$8,800
Holding carry$15,630
All-in capital$555,596
Sell costs (6%)− $20,999
Net proceeds$328,987
Net profit $-59,205
Photo triage & rehab band

Condition triage

Library estimate

No contractor assessment on file for this listing.

ML baseline rehab: $91,166

Baseline notes

Investor scope checklist

  • ▸Kitchen cabinets/counters are primary value-add
  • ▸Flooring and paint drive resale perception
  • ▸Exterior curb appeal strongly impacts ARV
  • ▸Mechanicals assumed functional; verify on inspection

Renovation budget

Total: $91,166
Kitchen — Full Replacement $48,000
Bathroom — Full Renovation $18,000
Interior Paint (1,770 sqft × $3.00) $5,310
Flooring — Hardwood Refinish (1,770 sqft × $4.50) $7,965
Contingency (15%) $11,891

Rehab from historical Condition Tier $/sqft band × subject sqft — not vision-invented GC quotes. Verify with a licensed contractor before closing.

Neighborhood & Apex

Trajectory: Stable

No enrichment data.

Apex breakdown

Threshold 85+ = Apex Hot

profit margin
15/100
35% weight
hidden repair risk
100/100
25% weight
neighborhood trajectory
60/100
25% weight
condition
50/100
15% weight
Beds
4
Baths
3.0
Sqft
1770
Zip
22407

Assigns Condition Tier 1–4 from listing photos (gut / heavy / cosmetic / turnkey). Rehab $ comes from historical tier bands — not photo guessing. Usually ~30–90s.

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