Bid Check with my reno → — your rehab, stressed Bid $
Street locked · 78681 | $480,000 Flip Analysis — FlipScout
Ask
$480,000
$180/sqft
Bid $
$351,677
Max bid / MAO
Room
~$128,323 over max bid · 27% of ask
vs max bid
Verdict
WALK
Pass at list
Rehab
$98,877
$37/sqft
ARV
$555,058

Clearance (C) — bid physics. C = Bid $ ÷ Ask. We don't mint fake CLEARS. CLEARS · BID TARGET · WALK

Free: tape numbers + 3 Bid Checks/mo. Pro $15/mo: unlimited Bid Checks · streets + Deal Architecture.

Deal Architecture · Pro

Bid $ $351,677 · Ask $480,000

Walk-away max bid is free above — same math as the Bid/Pass Tape. Live waterfall, health, controls, and rehab bands unlock with Pro. We do not show a hollow OUR EDGE with empty dashes.

Flip math

Value-add ARV

ARV = adjusted list + (rehab × 1.5) · zip avm

Implied ARV $/sqft
Subject sqft2664 sqft
ARV$555,058
List− $480,000
Rehab− $98,877
Gross profit$-23,819

Contextual market baseline

Sold comps for neighborhood context — not the ARV formula · 3 sales · last 6 mo · zip 78681

Street locked · 78681 · SINGLE_FAMILY $498,000 · 2592 sqft
Street locked · 78681 · SINGLE_FAMILY $527,888 · 2533 sqft
Street locked · 78681 · SINGLE_FAMILY $995,000 · 2810 sqft

Net pro forma

Includes closing costs & 3.1-month carry

Buy closing (2%)$9,600
Holding carry$16,450
All-in capital$604,927
Sell costs (6%)− $33,303
Net proceeds$521,754
Net profit $-63,994
Photo triage & rehab band

Condition triage

Library estimate

No contractor assessment on file for this listing.

ML baseline rehab: $98,877

Baseline notes

Investor scope checklist

  • Kitchen cabinets/counters are primary value-add
  • Flooring and paint drive resale perception
  • Exterior curb appeal strongly impacts ARV
  • Mechanicals assumed functional; verify on inspection

Renovation budget

Total: $98,877
Kitchen — Full Replacement $48,000
Bathroom — Full Renovation $18,000
Interior Paint (2,664 sqft × $3.00) $7,992
Flooring — Hardwood Refinish (2,664 sqft × $4.50) $11,988
Contingency (15%) $12,897

Rehab from historical Condition Tier $/sqft band × subject sqft — not vision-invented GC quotes. Verify with a licensed contractor before closing.

Neighborhood & Apex

Trajectory: Stable

No enrichment data.

Apex breakdown

Threshold 85+ = Apex Hot

profit margin
15/100
35% weight
hidden repair risk
100/100
25% weight
neighborhood trajectory
60/100
25% weight
condition
50/100
15% weight
Beds
5
Baths
4.0
Sqft
2664
Zip
78681

Assigns Condition Tier 1–4 from listing photos (gut / heavy / cosmetic / turnkey). Rehab $ comes from historical tier bands — not photo guessing. Usually ~30–90s.

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Same zip or nearby price band — Bid/Pass Tape rows

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