Bid Check with my reno → — your rehab, stressed Bid $
Street locked · 85234 | $657,000 Flip Analysis — FlipScout
Ask
$657,000
$252/sqft
Bid $
$517,561
Max bid / MAO
Room
~$139,439 over max bid · 21% of ask
vs max bid
Verdict
WALK
Pass at list
Rehab
$98,411
$38/sqft
ARV
$635,408

Clearance (C) — bid physics. C = Bid $ ÷ Ask. We don't mint fake CLEARS. CLEARS · BID TARGET · WALK

Free: tape numbers + 3 Bid Checks/mo. Pro $15/mo: unlimited Bid Checks · streets + Deal Architecture.

Deal Architecture · Pro

Bid $ $517,561 · Ask $657,000

Walk-away max bid is free above — same math as the Bid/Pass Tape. Live waterfall, health, controls, and rehab bands unlock with Pro. We do not show a hollow OUR EDGE with empty dashes.

Flip math

Value-add ARV

ARV = adjusted list + (rehab × 1.5) · zip avm

Implied ARV $/sqft
Subject sqft2610 sqft
ARV$635,408
List− $657,000
Rehab− $98,411
Gross profit$-120,003

Contextual market baseline

Sold comps for neighborhood context — not the ARV formula · 3 sales · last 6 mo · zip 85234

Street locked · 85234 · SINGLE_FAMILY $752,000 · 2613 sqft
Street locked · 85234 · SINGLE_FAMILY $735,000 · 2700 sqft
Street locked · 85234 · SINGLE_FAMILY $735,000 · 2490 sqft

Net pro forma

Includes closing costs & 3.78-month carry

Buy closing (2%)$13,140
Holding carry$26,175
All-in capital$794,726
Sell costs (6%)− $38,124
Net proceeds$597,283
Net profit $-49,631
Photo triage & rehab band

Condition triage

Library estimate

No contractor assessment on file for this listing.

ML baseline rehab: $98,411

Baseline notes

Investor scope checklist

  • Kitchen cabinets/counters are primary value-add
  • Flooring and paint drive resale perception
  • Exterior curb appeal strongly impacts ARV
  • Mechanicals assumed functional; verify on inspection

Renovation budget

Total: $98,411
Kitchen — Full Replacement $48,000
Bathroom — Full Renovation $18,000
Interior Paint (2,610 sqft × $3.00) $7,830
Flooring — Hardwood Refinish (2,610 sqft × $4.50) $11,745
Contingency (15%) $12,836

Rehab from historical Condition Tier $/sqft band × subject sqft — not vision-invented GC quotes. Verify with a licensed contractor before closing.

Neighborhood & Apex

Trajectory: Stable

No enrichment data.

Apex breakdown

Threshold 85+ = Apex Hot

profit margin
15/100
35% weight
hidden repair risk
100/100
25% weight
neighborhood trajectory
60/100
25% weight
condition
50/100
15% weight
Beds
4
Baths
2.0
Sqft
2610
Zip
85234

Assigns Condition Tier 1–4 from listing photos (gut / heavy / cosmetic / turnkey). Rehab $ comes from historical tier bands — not photo guessing. Usually ~30–90s.

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