Bid Check with my reno → — your rehab, stressed Bid $
Street locked · 78641 | $430,000 Flip Analysis — FlipScout
Ask
$430,000
$182/sqft
Bid $
$307,475
Max bid / MAO
Room
~$122,525 over max bid · 28% of ask
vs max bid
Verdict
WALK
Pass at list
Rehab
$96,298
$41/sqft
ARV
$420,021

Clearance (C) — bid physics. C = Bid $ ÷ Ask. We don't mint fake CLEARS. CLEARS · BID TARGET · WALK

Free: tape numbers + 3 Bid Checks/mo. Pro $15/mo: unlimited Bid Checks · streets + Deal Architecture.

Deal Architecture · Pro

Bid $ $307,475 · Ask $430,000

Walk-away max bid is free above — same math as the Bid/Pass Tape. Live waterfall, health, controls, and rehab bands unlock with Pro. We do not show a hollow OUR EDGE with empty dashes.

Flip math

Value-add ARV

ARV = adjusted list + (rehab × 1.5) · zip avm

Implied ARV $/sqft
Subject sqft2365 sqft
ARV$420,021
List− $430,000
Rehab− $96,298
Gross profit$-106,277

Contextual market baseline

Sold comps for neighborhood context — not the ARV formula · 3 sales · last 6 mo · zip 78641

Street locked · 78641 · SINGLE_FAMILY $484,990 · 2441 sqft
Street locked · 78641 · SINGLE_FAMILY $373,497 · 2445 sqft
Street locked · 78641 · SINGLE_FAMILY $439,990 · 2232 sqft

Net pro forma

Includes closing costs & 4.6-month carry

Buy closing (2%)$8,600
Holding carry$22,192
All-in capital$557,090
Sell costs (6%)− $25,201
Net proceeds$394,820
Net profit $-65,265
Photo triage & rehab band

Condition triage

Library estimate

No contractor assessment on file for this listing.

ML baseline rehab: $96,298

Baseline notes

Investor scope checklist

  • Kitchen cabinets/counters are primary value-add
  • Flooring and paint drive resale perception
  • Exterior curb appeal strongly impacts ARV
  • Mechanicals assumed functional; verify on inspection

Renovation budget

Total: $96,298
Kitchen — Full Replacement $48,000
Bathroom — Full Renovation $18,000
Interior Paint (2,365 sqft × $3.00) $7,095
Flooring — Hardwood Refinish (2,365 sqft × $4.50) $10,642
Contingency (15%) $12,561

Rehab from historical Condition Tier $/sqft band × subject sqft — not vision-invented GC quotes. Verify with a licensed contractor before closing.

Neighborhood & Apex

Trajectory: Stable

No enrichment data.

Apex breakdown

Threshold 85+ = Apex Hot

profit margin
15/100
35% weight
hidden repair risk
100/100
25% weight
neighborhood trajectory
60/100
25% weight
condition
50/100
15% weight
Beds
4
Baths
3.0
Sqft
2365
Zip
78641

Assigns Condition Tier 1–4 from listing photos (gut / heavy / cosmetic / turnkey). Rehab $ comes from historical tier bands — not photo guessing. Usually ~30–90s.

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Same zip or nearby price band — Bid/Pass Tape rows

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