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Street locked · 21771 | $450,000 Flip Analysis — FlipScout
Ask
$450,000
$230/sqft
Bid $
$284,415
Max bid / MAO
Room
~$165,585 over max bid · 37% of ask
vs max bid
Verdict
WALK
Pass at list
Rehab
$49,000
$25/sqft
ARV
$435,747

Clearance (C) — bid physics. C = Bid $ ÷ Ask. We don't mint fake CLEARS. CLEARS · BID TARGET · WALK

Free: tape numbers + 3 Bid Checks/mo. Pro $15/mo: unlimited Bid Checks · streets + Deal Architecture.

Deal Architecture · Pro

Bid $ $284,415 · Ask $450,000

Walk-away max bid is free above — same math as the Bid/Pass Tape. Live waterfall, health, controls, and rehab bands unlock with Pro. We do not show a hollow OUR EDGE with empty dashes.

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Flip math

Value-add ARV

ARV = adjusted list + (rehab × 1.5) · zip avm

Implied ARV $/sqft
Subject sqft1960 sqft
ARV$435,747
List− $450,000
Rehab− $49,000
Gross profit$-63,253

Contextual market baseline

Sold comps for neighborhood context — not the ARV formula · 3 sales · last 6 mo · zip 21771

Street locked · 21771 · TOWNHOMES $455,000 · 1960 sqft
Street locked · 21771 · SINGLE_FAMILY $560,000 · 1959 sqft
Street locked · 21771 · SINGLE_FAMILY $600,000 · 2040 sqft

Net pro forma

Includes closing costs & 2.93-month carry

Buy closing (2%)$9,000
Holding carry$12,086
All-in capital$520,086
Sell costs (6%)− $26,145
Net proceeds$409,602
Net profit $-121,337
Photo triage & rehab band

Condition triage

Library estimate

No contractor assessment on file for this listing.

ML baseline rehab: —

Baseline notes

Investor scope checklist

  • ▸Kitchen cabinets/counters are primary value-add
  • ▸Flooring and paint drive resale perception
  • ▸Exterior curb appeal strongly impacts ARV
  • ▸Mechanicals assumed functional; verify on inspection

Renovation budget

Total: $49,000
Renovation Budget (estimated) $49,000

Rehab from historical Condition Tier $/sqft band × subject sqft — not vision-invented GC quotes. Verify with a licensed contractor before closing.

Neighborhood & Apex

Trajectory: Stable

No enrichment data.

Apex breakdown

Threshold 85+ = Apex Hot

profit margin
40/100
35% weight
hidden repair risk
100/100
25% weight
neighborhood trajectory
60/100
25% weight
condition
50/100
15% weight
Beds
3
Baths
3.0
Sqft
1960
Zip
21771

Assigns Condition Tier 1–4 from listing photos (gut / heavy / cosmetic / turnkey). Rehab $ comes from historical tier bands — not photo guessing. Usually ~30–90s.

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