Bid Check with my reno → — your rehab, stressed Bid $
Street locked · 85004 | $325,000 Flip Analysis — FlipScout
Ask
$325,000
$427/sqft
Bid $
$222,904
Max bid / MAO
Room
~$102,096 over max bid · 31% of ask
vs max bid
Verdict
WALK
Pass at list
Rehab
$82,463
$108/sqft
ARV
$394,215

Clearance (C) — bid physics. C = Bid $ ÷ Ask. We don't mint fake CLEARS. CLEARS · BID TARGET · WALK

Free: tape numbers + 3 Bid Checks/mo. Pro $15/mo: unlimited Bid Checks · streets + Deal Architecture.

Deal Architecture · Pro

Bid $ $222,904 · Ask $325,000

Walk-away max bid is free above — same math as the Bid/Pass Tape. Live waterfall, health, controls, and rehab bands unlock with Pro. We do not show a hollow OUR EDGE with empty dashes.

Flip math

Value-add ARV

ARV = adjusted list + (rehab × 1.5) · zip avm

Implied ARV $/sqft
Subject sqft761 sqft
ARV$394,215
List− $325,000
Rehab− $82,463
Gross profit$-13,248

Contextual market baseline

Sold comps for neighborhood context — not the ARV formula · 3 sales · last 6 mo · zip 85004

Street locked · 85004 · CONDOS $340,000 · 709 sqft
Street locked · 85004 · TOWNHOMES $342,000 · 829 sqft
Street locked · 85004 · SINGLE_FAMILY $375,000 · 639 sqft

Net pro forma

Includes closing costs & 6.17-month carry

Buy closing (2%)$6,500
Holding carry$23,045
All-in capital$437,008
Sell costs (6%)− $23,653
Net proceeds$370,562
Net profit $-59,279
Photo triage & rehab band

Condition triage

Library estimate

No contractor assessment on file for this listing.

ML baseline rehab: $82,463

Baseline notes

Investor scope checklist

  • Kitchen cabinets/counters are primary value-add
  • Flooring and paint drive resale perception
  • Exterior curb appeal strongly impacts ARV
  • Mechanicals assumed functional; verify on inspection

Renovation budget

Total: $82,463
Kitchen — Full Replacement $48,000
Bathroom — Full Renovation $18,000
Interior Paint (761 sqft × $3.00) $2,283
Flooring — Hardwood Refinish (761 sqft × $4.50) $3,424
Contingency (15%) $10,756

Rehab from historical Condition Tier $/sqft band × subject sqft — not vision-invented GC quotes. Verify with a licensed contractor before closing.

Neighborhood & Apex

Trajectory: Stable

No enrichment data.

Apex breakdown

Threshold 85+ = Apex Hot

profit margin
15/100
35% weight
hidden repair risk
100/100
25% weight
neighborhood trajectory
60/100
25% weight
condition
50/100
15% weight
Beds
1
Baths
1.0
Sqft
761
Zip
85004

Assigns Condition Tier 1–4 from listing photos (gut / heavy / cosmetic / turnkey). Rehab $ comes from historical tier bands — not photo guessing. Usually ~30–90s.

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