Bid Check with my reno → — your rehab, stressed Bid $
Street locked · 85701 | $819,000 Flip Analysis — FlipScout
Ask
$819,000
$281/sqft
Bid $
$625,242
Max bid / MAO
Room
~$193,758 over max bid · 24% of ask
vs max bid
Verdict
WALK
Pass at list
Rehab
$101,068
$35/sqft
ARV
$837,900

Clearance (C) — bid physics. C = Bid $ ÷ Ask. We don't mint fake CLEARS. CLEARS · BID TARGET · WALK

Free: tape numbers + 3 Bid Checks/mo. Pro $15/mo: unlimited Bid Checks · streets + Deal Architecture.

Deal Architecture · Pro

Bid $ $625,242 · Ask $819,000

Walk-away max bid is free above — same math as the Bid/Pass Tape. Live waterfall, health, controls, and rehab bands unlock with Pro. We do not show a hollow OUR EDGE with empty dashes.

Flip math

Value-add ARV

ARV = adjusted list + (rehab × 1.5) · zip avm

Implied ARV $/sqft
Subject sqft2918 sqft
ARV$837,900
List− $819,000
Rehab− $101,068
Gross profit$-82,168

Contextual market baseline

Sold comps for neighborhood context — not the ARV formula · 3 sales · last 6 mo · zip 85701

Street locked · 85701 · SINGLE_FAMILY $900,000 · 2770 sqft
Street locked · 85701 · SINGLE_FAMILY $789,000 · 2677 sqft
Street locked · 85701 · MULTI_FAMILY $680,000 · 2179 sqft

Net pro forma

Includes closing costs & 5.08-month carry

Buy closing (2%)$16,380
Holding carry$42,844
All-in capital$979,292
Sell costs (6%)− $50,274
Net proceeds$787,626
Net profit $-89,241
Photo triage & rehab band

Condition triage

Library estimate

No contractor assessment on file for this listing.

ML baseline rehab: $101,068

Baseline notes

Investor scope checklist

  • Kitchen cabinets/counters are primary value-add
  • Flooring and paint drive resale perception
  • Exterior curb appeal strongly impacts ARV
  • Mechanicals assumed functional; verify on inspection

Renovation budget

Total: $101,068
Kitchen — Full Replacement $48,000
Bathroom — Full Renovation $18,000
Interior Paint (2,918 sqft × $3.00) $8,754
Flooring — Hardwood Refinish (2,918 sqft × $4.50) $13,131
Contingency (15%) $13,183

Rehab from historical Condition Tier $/sqft band × subject sqft — not vision-invented GC quotes. Verify with a licensed contractor before closing.

Neighborhood & Apex

Trajectory: Stable

No enrichment data.

Apex breakdown

Threshold 85+ = Apex Hot

profit margin
3/100
35% weight
hidden repair risk
100/100
25% weight
neighborhood trajectory
60/100
25% weight
condition
50/100
15% weight
Beds
6
Baths
3.0
Sqft
2918
Zip
85701

Assigns Condition Tier 1–4 from listing photos (gut / heavy / cosmetic / turnkey). Rehab $ comes from historical tier bands — not photo guessing. Usually ~30–90s.

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Same zip or nearby price band — Bid/Pass Tape rows

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