Bid Check with my reno → — your rehab, stressed Bid $
Street locked · 85301 | $549,999 Flip Analysis — FlipScout
Property photo 1 Property photo 2 Property photo 3 Property photo 4 Property photo 5
Ask
$549,999
$215/sqft
Bid $
$418,004
Max bid / MAO
Room
~$131,995 over max bid · 24% of ask
vs max bid
Verdict
WALK
Pass at list
Rehab
$97,954
$38/sqft
ARV
$438,526

Clearance (C) — bid physics. C = Bid $ ÷ Ask. We don't mint fake CLEARS. CLEARS · BID TARGET · WALK

Free: tape numbers + 3 Bid Checks/mo. Pro $15/mo: unlimited Bid Checks · streets + Deal Architecture.

Deal Architecture · Pro

Bid $ $418,004 · Ask $549,999

Walk-away max bid is free above — same math as the Bid/Pass Tape. Live waterfall, health, controls, and rehab bands unlock with Pro. We do not show a hollow OUR EDGE with empty dashes.

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Flip math

Value-add ARV

ARV = adjusted list + (rehab × 1.5) · zip avm

Implied ARV $/sqft
Subject sqft2557 sqft
ARV$438,526
List− $549,999
Rehab− $97,954
Gross profit$-209,428

Contextual market baseline

Sold comps for neighborhood context — not the ARV formula · 3 sales · last 6 mo · zip 85301

Street locked · 85301 · SINGLE_FAMILY $450,000 · 2405 sqft
Street locked · 85301 · SINGLE_FAMILY $390,000 · 2215 sqft
Street locked · 85301 · SINGLE_FAMILY $520,000 · 3074 sqft

Net pro forma

Includes closing costs & 9.3-month carry

Buy closing (2%)$11,000
Holding carry$55,238
All-in capital$714,191
Sell costs (6%)− $26,312
Net proceeds$412,214
Net profit $-57,555
Photo triage & rehab band

Condition triage

Library estimate

No contractor assessment on file for this listing.

ML baseline rehab: $97,954

Baseline notes

Investor scope checklist

  • ▸Kitchen cabinets/counters are primary value-add
  • ▸Flooring and paint drive resale perception
  • ▸Exterior curb appeal strongly impacts ARV
  • ▸Mechanicals assumed functional; verify on inspection

Renovation budget

Total: $97,954
Kitchen — Full Replacement $48,000
Bathroom — Full Renovation $18,000
Interior Paint (2,557 sqft × $3.00) $7,671
Flooring — Hardwood Refinish (2,557 sqft × $4.50) $11,506
Contingency (15%) $12,777

Rehab from historical Condition Tier $/sqft band × subject sqft — not vision-invented GC quotes. Verify with a licensed contractor before closing.

Neighborhood & Apex

Trajectory: Stable

No enrichment data.

Apex breakdown

Threshold 85+ = Apex Hot

profit margin
15/100
35% weight
hidden repair risk
100/100
25% weight
neighborhood trajectory
60/100
25% weight
condition
50/100
15% weight
Beds
5
Baths
3.0
Sqft
2557
Zip
85301

Assigns Condition Tier 1–4 from listing photos (gut / heavy / cosmetic / turnkey). Rehab $ comes from historical tier bands — not photo guessing. Usually ~30–90s.

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