Bid Check with my reno → — your rehab, stressed Bid $
Street locked · 77002 | $475,000 Flip Analysis — FlipScout
Ask
$475,000
$185/sqft
Bid $
$347,858
Max bid / MAO
Room
~$127,142 over max bid · 27% of ask
vs max bid
Verdict
WALK
Pass at list
Rehab
$98,006
$38/sqft
ARV
$533,139

Clearance (C) — bid physics. C = Bid $ ÷ Ask. We don't mint fake CLEARS. CLEARS · BID TARGET · WALK

Free: tape numbers + 3 Bid Checks/mo. Pro $15/mo: unlimited Bid Checks · streets + Deal Architecture.

Deal Architecture · Pro

Bid $ $347,858 · Ask $475,000

Walk-away max bid is free above — same math as the Bid/Pass Tape. Live waterfall, health, controls, and rehab bands unlock with Pro. We do not show a hollow OUR EDGE with empty dashes.

Flip math

Value-add ARV

ARV = adjusted list + (rehab × 1.5) · zip avm

Implied ARV $/sqft
Subject sqft2563 sqft
ARV$533,139
List− $475,000
Rehab− $98,006
Gross profit$-39,867

Contextual market baseline

Sold comps for neighborhood context — not the ARV formula · 3 sales · last 6 mo · zip 77002

Street locked · 77002 · CONDOS $475,000 · 2567 sqft
Street locked · 77002 · SINGLE_FAMILY $600,000 · 2369 sqft
Street locked · 77002 · TOWNHOMES $359,900 · 2151 sqft

Net pro forma

Includes closing costs & 4.3-month carry

Buy closing (2%)$9,500
Holding carry$22,586
All-in capital$605,092
Sell costs (6%)− $31,988
Net proceeds$501,151
Net profit $-63,491
Photo triage & rehab band

Condition triage

Library estimate

No contractor assessment on file for this listing.

ML baseline rehab: $98,006

Baseline notes

Investor scope checklist

  • Kitchen cabinets/counters are primary value-add
  • Flooring and paint drive resale perception
  • Exterior curb appeal strongly impacts ARV
  • Mechanicals assumed functional; verify on inspection

Renovation budget

Total: $98,006
Kitchen — Full Replacement $48,000
Bathroom — Full Renovation $18,000
Interior Paint (2,563 sqft × $3.00) $7,689
Flooring — Hardwood Refinish (2,563 sqft × $4.50) $11,534
Contingency (15%) $12,783

Rehab from historical Condition Tier $/sqft band × subject sqft — not vision-invented GC quotes. Verify with a licensed contractor before closing.

Neighborhood & Apex

Trajectory: Stable

No enrichment data.

Apex breakdown

Threshold 85+ = Apex Hot

profit margin
15/100
35% weight
hidden repair risk
100/100
25% weight
neighborhood trajectory
60/100
25% weight
condition
50/100
15% weight
Beds
2
Baths
2.0
Sqft
2563
Zip
77002

Assigns Condition Tier 1–4 from listing photos (gut / heavy / cosmetic / turnkey). Rehab $ comes from historical tier bands — not photo guessing. Usually ~30–90s.

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