Bid Check with my reno → — your rehab, stressed Bid $
Street locked · 85016 | $624,900 Flip Analysis — FlipScout
Property photo 1 Property photo 2 Property photo 3 Property photo 4 Property photo 5
Ask
$624,900
$438/sqft
Bid $
$467,397
Max bid / MAO
Room
~$157,503 over max bid · 25% of ask
vs max bid
Verdict
WALK
Pass at list
Rehab
$88,199
$62/sqft
ARV
$503,193

Clearance (C) — bid physics. C = Bid $ ÷ Ask. We don't mint fake CLEARS. CLEARS · BID TARGET · WALK

Free: tape numbers + 3 Bid Checks/mo. Pro $15/mo: unlimited Bid Checks · streets + Deal Architecture.

Deal Architecture · Pro

Bid $ $467,397 · Ask $624,900

Walk-away max bid is free above — same math as the Bid/Pass Tape. Live waterfall, health, controls, and rehab bands unlock with Pro. We do not show a hollow OUR EDGE with empty dashes.

Go Pro $15/mo MAO calculator
Flip math

Value-add ARV

ARV = adjusted list + (rehab × 1.5) · zip avm

Implied ARV $/sqft
Subject sqft1426 sqft
ARV$503,193
List− $624,900
Rehab− $88,199
Gross profit$-209,906

Contextual market baseline

Sold comps for neighborhood context — not the ARV formula · 3 sales · last 6 mo · zip 85016

Street locked · 85016 · TOWNHOMES $270,000 · 1496 sqft
Street locked · 85016 · SINGLE_FAMILY $620,000 · 1334 sqft
Street locked · 85016 · TOWNHOMES $450,000 · 1530 sqft

Net pro forma

Includes closing costs & 8.27-month carry

Buy closing (2%)$12,498
Holding carry$54,059
All-in capital$779,656
Sell costs (6%)− $30,192
Net proceeds$473,001
Net profit $-78,036
Photo triage & rehab band

Condition triage

FlipScout AI Inspector ·

No contractor assessment on file for this listing.

Rehab: $88,199

Renovation budget

Total: $88,199
Kitchen — Full Replacement $48,000
Bathroom — Full Renovation $18,000
Interior Paint (1,426 sqft × $3.00) $4,278
Flooring — Hardwood Refinish (1,426 sqft × $4.50) $6,417
Contingency (15%) $11,504

Rehab from historical Condition Tier $/sqft band × subject sqft — not vision-invented GC quotes. Verify with a licensed contractor before closing.

Neighborhood & Apex

Trajectory: Stable

No enrichment data.

Apex breakdown

Threshold 85+ = Apex Hot

profit margin
4/100
35% weight
hidden repair risk
100/100
25% weight
neighborhood trajectory
60/100
25% weight
condition
50/100
15% weight
Beds
3
Baths
3.0
Sqft
1426
Zip
85016

Similar flips

Same zip or nearby price band — Bid/Pass Tape rows

WALK Street locked · 85016

Street locked · 85016

Phoenix, AZ 85016

Ask$375,000
Bid $$268,703
Room~$106,297 over max bid · 28% of ask
WALK Street locked · 85016

Street locked · 85016

Phoenix, AZ 85016

Ask$265,000
Bid $$162,565
Room~$102,435 over max bid · 39% of ask
WALK Street locked · 85016

Street locked · 85016

Phoenix, AZ 85016

Ask$467,777
Bid $$352,278
Room~$115,499 over max bid · 25% of ask
WALK Street locked · 85016

Street locked · 85016

Phoenix, AZ 85016

Ask$525,000
Bid $$401,869
Room~$123,131 over max bid · 23% of ask
WALK Street locked · 85016

Street locked · 85016

Phoenix, AZ 85016

Ask$525,000
Bid $$408,016
Room~$116,984 over max bid · 22% of ask
← Bid/Pass Tape