Bid Check with my reno → — your rehab, stressed Bid $
Street locked · 85201 | $252,999 Flip Analysis — FlipScout
Property photo 1 Property photo 2 Property photo 3 Property photo 4 Property photo 5
Ask
$252,999
$253/sqft
Bid $
$153,589
Max bid / MAO
Room
~$99,410 over max bid · 39% of ask
vs max bid
Verdict
WALK
Pass at list
Rehab
$84,525
$85/sqft
ARV
$218,225

Clearance (C) — bid physics. C = Bid $ ÷ Ask. We don't mint fake CLEARS. CLEARS · BID TARGET · WALK

Free: tape numbers + 3 Bid Checks/mo. Pro $15/mo: unlimited Bid Checks · streets + Deal Architecture.

Deal Architecture · Pro

Bid $ $153,589 · Ask $252,999

Walk-away max bid is free above — same math as the Bid/Pass Tape. Live waterfall, health, controls, and rehab bands unlock with Pro. We do not show a hollow OUR EDGE with empty dashes.

Go Pro $15/mo MAO calculator
Flip math

Value-add ARV

ARV = adjusted list + (rehab × 1.5) · zip avm

Implied ARV $/sqft
Subject sqft1000 sqft
ARV$218,225
List− $252,999
Rehab− $84,525
Gross profit$-119,299

Contextual market baseline

Sold comps for neighborhood context — not the ARV formula · 3 sales · last 6 mo · zip 85201

Street locked · 85201 · CONDOS $212,995 · 1000 sqft
Street locked · 85201 · SINGLE_FAMILY $291,000 · 1007 sqft
Street locked · 85201 · SINGLE_FAMILY $405,000 · 1008 sqft

Net pro forma

Includes closing costs & 3.14-month carry

Buy closing (2%)$5,060
Holding carry$9,715
All-in capital$352,299
Sell costs (6%)− $13,094
Net proceeds$205,132
Net profit $-67,046
Photo triage & rehab band

Condition triage

Library estimate

No contractor assessment on file for this listing.

ML baseline rehab: $84,525

Baseline notes

Investor scope checklist

  • ▸Kitchen cabinets/counters are primary value-add
  • ▸Flooring and paint drive resale perception
  • ▸Exterior curb appeal strongly impacts ARV
  • ▸Mechanicals assumed functional; verify on inspection

Renovation budget

Total: $84,525
Kitchen — Full Replacement $48,000
Bathroom — Full Renovation $18,000
Interior Paint (1,000 sqft × $3.00) $3,000
Flooring — Hardwood Refinish (1,000 sqft × $4.50) $4,500
Contingency (15%) $11,025

Rehab from historical Condition Tier $/sqft band × subject sqft — not vision-invented GC quotes. Verify with a licensed contractor before closing.

Neighborhood & Apex

Trajectory: Stable

No enrichment data.

Apex breakdown

Threshold 85+ = Apex Hot

profit margin
15/100
35% weight
hidden repair risk
100/100
25% weight
neighborhood trajectory
60/100
25% weight
condition
50/100
15% weight
Beds
2
Baths
2.0
Sqft
1000
Zip
85201

Assigns Condition Tier 1–4 from listing photos (gut / heavy / cosmetic / turnkey). Rehab $ comes from historical tier bands — not photo guessing. Usually ~30–90s.

Similar flips

Same zip or nearby price band — Bid/Pass Tape rows

WALK Street locked · 85201

Street locked · 85201

Mesa, AZ 85201

Ask$745,000
Bid $$593,946
Room~$151,054 over max bid · 20% of ask
WALK Street locked · 85201

Street locked · 85201

Mesa, AZ 85201

Ask$264,900
Bid $$163,587
Room~$101,313 over max bid · 38% of ask
WALK Street locked · 85201

Street locked · 85201

Mesa, AZ 85201

Ask$349,900
Bid $$240,188
Room~$109,712 over max bid · 31% of ask
WALK Street locked · 85201

Street locked · 85201

Mesa, AZ 85201

Ask$650,000
Bid $$506,943
Room~$143,057 over max bid · 22% of ask
WALK Street locked · 85201

Street locked · 85201

Mesa, AZ 85201

Ask$425,000
Bid $$308,213
Room~$116,787 over max bid · 27% of ask
← Bid/Pass Tape