Bid Check with my reno → — your rehab, stressed Bid $
Street locked · 07302 | $749,000 Flip Analysis — FlipScout
Ask
$749,000
$995/sqft
Bid $
$575,917
Max bid / MAO
Room
~$173,083 over max bid · 23% of ask
vs max bid
Verdict
WALK
Pass at list
Rehab
$201,066
$267/sqft
ARV
$609,874

Clearance (C) — bid physics. C = Bid $ ÷ Ask. We don't mint fake CLEARS. CLEARS · BID TARGET · WALK

Free: tape numbers + 3 Bid Checks/mo. Pro $15/mo: unlimited Bid Checks · streets + Deal Architecture.

Deal Architecture · Pro

Bid $ $575,917 · Ask $749,000

Walk-away max bid is free above — same math as the Bid/Pass Tape. Live waterfall, health, controls, and rehab bands unlock with Pro. We do not show a hollow OUR EDGE with empty dashes.

Flip math

Value-add ARV

ARV = adjusted list + (rehab × 1.5) · zip avm

Implied ARV $/sqft
Subject sqft753 sqft
ARV$609,874
List− $749,000
Rehab− $201,066
Gross profit$-340,192

Contextual market baseline

Sold comps for neighborhood context — not the ARV formula · 3 sales · last 6 mo · zip 07302

Street locked · 07302 · CONDOS $754,600 · 753 sqft
Street locked · 07302 · CONDOS $700,000 · 744 sqft
Street locked · 07302 · CONDOS $625,000 · 785 sqft

Net pro forma

Includes closing costs & 3.09-month carry

Buy closing (2%)$14,980
Holding carry$26,911
All-in capital$991,957
Sell costs (6%)− $36,592
Net proceeds$573,282
Net profit $-59,901
Photo triage & rehab band

Condition triage

FlipScout AI Inspector ·

The exterior patio and landscaping appear dated but structurally sound, suggesting a cosmetic-focused flip rather than a gut rehab. The overgrown greenery and older metal supports indicate a need for immediate curb appeal improvements to maximize buyer interest.

Rehab: $201,066

Renovation budget

Total: $201,066
Cosmetic rehab band (753 sqft × $45/sqft) $33,885
Contingency (15%) $5,083

Rehab from historical Condition Tier $/sqft band × subject sqft — not vision-invented GC quotes. Verify with a licensed contractor before closing.

Neighborhood & Apex

Trajectory: Declining

Jersey City (07302) signals softer conditions: margins ~0.3%, DOM ~45 days, avg price drops ~0.0. Tighten ARV and rehab assumptions.

Apex breakdown

Threshold 85+ = Apex Hot

profit margin
16/100
35% weight
hidden repair risk
76/100
25% weight
neighborhood trajectory
20/100
25% weight
condition
60/100
15% weight
Beds
1
Baths
1.0
Sqft
753
Zip
07302

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