Bid Check with my reno → — your rehab, stressed Bid $
Street locked · 07302 | $619,000 Flip Analysis — FlipScout
Property photo 1 Property photo 2 Property photo 3 Property photo 4 Property photo 5
Ask
$619,000
$776/sqft
Bid $
$440,698
Max bid / MAO
Room
~$178,302 over max bid · 29% of ask
vs max bid
Verdict
WALK
Pass at list
Rehab
$82,783
$104/sqft
ARV
$655,706

Clearance (C) — bid physics. C = Bid $ ÷ Ask. We don't mint fake CLEARS. CLEARS · BID TARGET · WALK

Free: tape numbers + 3 Bid Checks/mo. Pro $15/mo: unlimited Bid Checks · streets + Deal Architecture.

Deal Architecture · Pro

Bid $ $440,698 · Ask $619,000

Walk-away max bid is free above — same math as the Bid/Pass Tape. Live waterfall, health, controls, and rehab bands unlock with Pro. We do not show a hollow OUR EDGE with empty dashes.

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Flip math

Value-add ARV

ARV = adjusted list + (rehab × 1.5) · zip avm

Implied ARV $/sqft
Subject sqft798 sqft
ARV$655,706
List− $619,000
Rehab− $82,783
Gross profit$-46,077

Contextual market baseline

Sold comps for neighborhood context — not the ARV formula · 3 sales · last 6 mo · zip 07302

Street locked · 07302 · CONDOS $690,000 · 792 sqft
Street locked · 07302 · CONDOS $625,000 · 785 sqft
Street locked · 07302 · CONDOS $711,888 · 837 sqft

Net pro forma

Includes closing costs & 4.2-month carry

Buy closing (2%)$12,380
Holding carry$27,019
All-in capital$741,182
Sell costs (6%)− $39,342
Net proceeds$616,363
Net profit $-104,881
Photo triage & rehab band

Condition triage

Library estimate

No contractor assessment on file for this listing.

ML baseline rehab: $82,783

Baseline notes

Investor scope checklist

  • ▸Kitchen cabinets/counters are primary value-add
  • ▸Flooring and paint drive resale perception
  • ▸Exterior curb appeal strongly impacts ARV
  • ▸Mechanicals assumed functional; verify on inspection

Renovation budget

Total: $82,783
Kitchen — Full Replacement $48,000
Bathroom — Full Renovation $18,000
Interior Paint (798 sqft × $3.00) $2,394
Flooring — Hardwood Refinish (798 sqft × $4.50) $3,591
Contingency (15%) $10,798

Rehab from historical Condition Tier $/sqft band × subject sqft — not vision-invented GC quotes. Verify with a licensed contractor before closing.

Neighborhood & Apex

Trajectory: Declining

Jersey City (07302) signals softer conditions: margins ~0.3%, DOM ~45 days, avg price drops ~0.0. Tighten ARV and rehab assumptions.

Apex breakdown

Threshold 85+ = Apex Hot

profit margin
0/100
35% weight
hidden repair risk
100/100
25% weight
neighborhood trajectory
20/100
25% weight
condition
50/100
15% weight
Beds
1
Baths
1.0
Sqft
798
Zip
07302

Assigns Condition Tier 1–4 from listing photos (gut / heavy / cosmetic / turnkey). Rehab $ comes from historical tier bands — not photo guessing. Usually ~30–90s.

Similar flips

Same zip or nearby price band — Bid/Pass Tape rows

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