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Street locked · 08902 | $649,000 Flip Analysis — FlipScout
Property photo 1 Property photo 2 Property photo 3 Property photo 4 Property photo 5
Ask
$649,000
$290/sqft
Bid $
$513,212
Max bid / MAO
Room
~$135,788 over max bid · 21% of ask
vs max bid
Verdict
WALK
Pass at list
Rehab
$95,220
$43/sqft
ARV
$649,289

Clearance (C) — bid physics. C = Bid $ ÷ Ask. We don't mint fake CLEARS. CLEARS · BID TARGET · WALK

Free: tape numbers + 3 Bid Checks/mo. Pro $15/mo: unlimited Bid Checks · streets + Deal Architecture.

Deal Architecture · Pro

Bid $ $513,212 · Ask $649,000

Walk-away max bid is free above — same math as the Bid/Pass Tape. Live waterfall, health, controls, and rehab bands unlock with Pro. We do not show a hollow OUR EDGE with empty dashes.

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Flip math

Value-add ARV

ARV = adjusted list + (rehab × 1.5) · zip avm

Implied ARV $/sqft
Subject sqft2240 sqft
ARV$649,289
List− $649,000
Rehab− $95,220
Gross profit$-94,931

Contextual market baseline

Sold comps for neighborhood context — not the ARV formula · 3 sales · last 6 mo · zip 08902

Street locked · 08902 · SINGLE_FAMILY $738,000 · 2216 sqft
Street locked · 08902 · SINGLE_FAMILY $660,000 · 2200 sqft
Street locked · 08902 · TOWNHOMES $560,000 · 2066 sqft

Net pro forma

Includes closing costs & 4.07-month carry

Buy closing (2%)$12,980
Holding carry$27,766
All-in capital$784,966
Sell costs (6%)− $38,957
Net proceeds$610,332
Net profit $-46,979
Photo triage & rehab band

Condition triage

Library estimate

No contractor assessment on file for this listing.

ML baseline rehab: $95,220

Baseline notes

Investor scope checklist

  • ▸Kitchen cabinets/counters are primary value-add
  • ▸Flooring and paint drive resale perception
  • ▸Exterior curb appeal strongly impacts ARV
  • ▸Mechanicals assumed functional; verify on inspection

Renovation budget

Total: $95,220
Kitchen — Full Replacement $48,000
Bathroom — Full Renovation $18,000
Interior Paint (2,240 sqft × $3.00) $6,720
Flooring — Hardwood Refinish (2,240 sqft × $4.50) $10,080
Contingency (15%) $12,420

Rehab from historical Condition Tier $/sqft band × subject sqft — not vision-invented GC quotes. Verify with a licensed contractor before closing.

Neighborhood & Apex

Trajectory: Declining

08902 (08902) signals softer conditions: margins ~3.3%, DOM ~45 days, avg price drops ~0.0. Tighten ARV and rehab assumptions.

Apex breakdown

Threshold 85+ = Apex Hot

profit margin
15/100
35% weight
hidden repair risk
100/100
25% weight
neighborhood trajectory
20/100
25% weight
condition
50/100
15% weight
Beds
3
Baths
3.0
Sqft
2240
Zip
08902

Assigns Condition Tier 1–4 from listing photos (gut / heavy / cosmetic / turnkey). Rehab $ comes from historical tier bands — not photo guessing. Usually ~30–90s.

Similar flips

Same zip or nearby price band — Bid/Pass Tape rows

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