Bid Check with my reno → — your rehab, stressed Bid $
Street locked · 22554 | $499,000 Flip Analysis — FlipScout
Property photo 1 Property photo 2 Property photo 3 Property photo 4 Property photo 5
Ask
$499,000
$248/sqft
Bid $
$228,465
Max bid / MAO
Room
~$270,535 over max bid · 54% of ask
vs max bid
Verdict
WALK
Pass at list
Rehab
$50,400
$25/sqft
ARV
$364,213

Clearance (C) — bid physics. C = Bid $ ÷ Ask. We don't mint fake CLEARS. CLEARS · BID TARGET · WALK

Free: tape numbers + 3 Bid Checks/mo. Pro $15/mo: unlimited Bid Checks · streets + Deal Architecture.

Deal Architecture · Pro

Bid $ $228,465 · Ask $499,000

Walk-away max bid is free above — same math as the Bid/Pass Tape. Live waterfall, health, controls, and rehab bands unlock with Pro. We do not show a hollow OUR EDGE with empty dashes.

Go Pro $15/mo MAO calculator
Flip math

Value-add ARV

ARV = adjusted list + (rehab × 1.5) · zip avm

Implied ARV $/sqft
Subject sqft2016 sqft
ARV$364,213
List− $499,000
Rehab− $50,400
Gross profit$-185,187

Contextual market baseline

Sold comps for neighborhood context — not the ARV formula · 3 sales · last 6 mo · zip 22554

Street locked · 22554 · TOWNHOMES $546,000 · 2112 sqft
Street locked · 22554 · SINGLE_FAMILY $352,000 · 1918 sqft
Street locked · 22554 · SINGLE_FAMILY $470,000 · 2152 sqft

Net pro forma

Includes closing costs & 2.88-month carry

Buy closing (2%)$9,980
Holding carry$13,174
All-in capital$572,554
Sell costs (6%)− $21,853
Net proceeds$342,360
Net profit $-239,967
Photo triage & rehab band

Condition triage

Library estimate

No contractor assessment on file for this listing.

ML baseline rehab: —

Baseline notes

Investor scope checklist

  • ▸Kitchen cabinets/counters are primary value-add
  • ▸Flooring and paint drive resale perception
  • ▸Exterior curb appeal strongly impacts ARV
  • ▸Mechanicals assumed functional; verify on inspection

Renovation budget

Total: $50,400
Renovation Budget (estimated) $50,400

Rehab from historical Condition Tier $/sqft band × subject sqft — not vision-invented GC quotes. Verify with a licensed contractor before closing.

Neighborhood & Apex

Trajectory: Stable

No enrichment data.

Apex breakdown

Threshold 85+ = Apex Hot

profit margin
40/100
35% weight
hidden repair risk
100/100
25% weight
neighborhood trajectory
60/100
25% weight
condition
50/100
15% weight
Beds
3
Baths
3.0
Sqft
2016
Zip
22554

Assigns Condition Tier 1–4 from listing photos (gut / heavy / cosmetic / turnkey). Rehab $ comes from historical tier bands — not photo guessing. Usually ~30–90s.

Similar flips

Same zip or nearby price band — Bid/Pass Tape rows

BID TARGET Street locked · 22554

Street locked · 22554

Stafford, VA 22554

Ask$275,000
Bid $$213,469
Room~$61,531 over max bid · 22% of ask
WALK Street locked · 22554

Street locked · 22554

Stafford, VA 22554

Ask$589,900
Bid $$460,851
Room~$129,049 over max bid · 22% of ask
WALK Street locked · 22554

Street locked · 22554

Stafford, VA 22554

Ask$599,900
Bid $$461,792
Room~$138,108 over max bid · 23% of ask
WALK Street locked · 22554

Street locked · 22554

Stafford, VA 22554

Ask$784,000
Bid $$626,329
Room~$157,671 over max bid · 20% of ask
WALK Street locked · 22554

Street locked · 22554

Stafford, VA 22554

Ask$790,900
Bid $$638,333
Room~$152,567 over max bid · 19% of ask
← Bid/Pass Tape