Bid Check with my reno → — your rehab, stressed Bid $
Street locked · 85142 | $609,999 Flip Analysis — FlipScout
Ask
$609,999
$310/sqft
Bid $
$299,962
Max bid / MAO
Room
~$310,037 over max bid · 51% of ask
vs max bid
Verdict
WALK
Pass at list
Rehab
$49,200
$25/sqft
ARV
$456,382

Clearance (C) — bid physics. C = Bid $ ÷ Ask. We don't mint fake CLEARS. CLEARS · BID TARGET · WALK

Free: tape numbers + 3 Bid Checks/mo. Pro $15/mo: unlimited Bid Checks · streets + Deal Architecture.

Deal Architecture · Pro

Bid $ $299,962 · Ask $609,999

Walk-away max bid is free above — same math as the Bid/Pass Tape. Live waterfall, health, controls, and rehab bands unlock with Pro. We do not show a hollow OUR EDGE with empty dashes.

Flip math

Value-add ARV

ARV = adjusted list + (rehab × 1.5) · zip avm

Implied ARV $/sqft
Subject sqft1968 sqft
ARV$456,382
List− $609,999
Rehab− $49,200
Gross profit$-202,817

Contextual market baseline

Sold comps for neighborhood context — not the ARV formula · 3 sales · last 6 mo · zip 85142

Street locked · 85142 · SINGLE_FAMILY $500,000 · 1989 sqft
Street locked · 85142 · SINGLE_FAMILY $569,000 · 1944 sqft
Street locked · 85142 · SINGLE_FAMILY $420,000 · 2038 sqft

Net pro forma

Includes closing costs & 6.28-month carry

Buy closing (2%)$12,200
Holding carry$35,116
All-in capital$706,515
Sell costs (6%)− $27,383
Net proceeds$428,999
Net profit $-270,327
Photo triage & rehab band

Condition triage

Library estimate

No contractor assessment on file for this listing.

ML baseline rehab:

Baseline notes

Investor scope checklist

  • Kitchen cabinets/counters are primary value-add
  • Flooring and paint drive resale perception
  • Exterior curb appeal strongly impacts ARV
  • Mechanicals assumed functional; verify on inspection

Renovation budget

Total: $49,200
Renovation Budget (estimated) $49,200

Rehab from historical Condition Tier $/sqft band × subject sqft — not vision-invented GC quotes. Verify with a licensed contractor before closing.

Neighborhood & Apex

Trajectory: Stable

No enrichment data.

Apex breakdown

Threshold 85+ = Apex Hot

profit margin
40/100
35% weight
hidden repair risk
100/100
25% weight
neighborhood trajectory
60/100
25% weight
condition
50/100
15% weight
Beds
3
Baths
3.0
Sqft
1968
Zip
85142

Assigns Condition Tier 1–4 from listing photos (gut / heavy / cosmetic / turnkey). Rehab $ comes from historical tier bands — not photo guessing. Usually ~30–90s.

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