Bid Check with my reno → — your rehab, stressed Bid $
Street locked · 85254 | $749,500 Flip Analysis — FlipScout
Ask
$749,500
$514/sqft
Bid $
$555,954
Max bid / MAO
Room
~$193,546 over max bid · 26% of ask
vs max bid
Verdict
WALK
Pass at list
Rehab
$88,475
$61/sqft
ARV
$604,055

Clearance (C) — bid physics. C = Bid $ ÷ Ask. We don't mint fake CLEARS. CLEARS · BID TARGET · WALK

Free: tape numbers + 3 Bid Checks/mo. Pro $15/mo: unlimited Bid Checks · streets + Deal Architecture.

Deal Architecture · Pro

Bid $ $555,954 · Ask $749,500

Walk-away max bid is free above — same math as the Bid/Pass Tape. Live waterfall, health, controls, and rehab bands unlock with Pro. We do not show a hollow OUR EDGE with empty dashes.

Flip math

Value-add ARV

ARV = adjusted list + (rehab × 1.5) · zip avm

Implied ARV $/sqft
Subject sqft1458 sqft
ARV$604,055
List− $749,500
Rehab− $88,475
Gross profit$-233,920

Contextual market baseline

Sold comps for neighborhood context — not the ARV formula · 3 sales · last 6 mo · zip 85254

Street locked · 85254 · SINGLE_FAMILY $720,000 · 1587 sqft
Street locked · 85254 · TOWNHOMES $361,000 · 1322 sqft
Street locked · 85254 · CONDOS $505,000 · 1264 sqft

Net pro forma

Includes closing costs & 3.96-month carry

Buy closing (2%)$14,990
Holding carry$30,418
All-in capital$883,383
Sell costs (6%)− $36,243
Net proceeds$567,812
Net profit $-101,859
Photo triage & rehab band

Condition triage

Library estimate

No contractor assessment on file for this listing.

ML baseline rehab: $88,475

Baseline notes

Investor scope checklist

  • Kitchen cabinets/counters are primary value-add
  • Flooring and paint drive resale perception
  • Exterior curb appeal strongly impacts ARV
  • Mechanicals assumed functional; verify on inspection

Renovation budget

Total: $88,475
Kitchen — Full Replacement $48,000
Bathroom — Full Renovation $18,000
Interior Paint (1,458 sqft × $3.00) $4,374
Flooring — Hardwood Refinish (1,458 sqft × $4.50) $6,561
Contingency (15%) $11,540

Rehab from historical Condition Tier $/sqft band × subject sqft — not vision-invented GC quotes. Verify with a licensed contractor before closing.

Neighborhood & Apex

Trajectory: Stable

No enrichment data.

Apex breakdown

Threshold 85+ = Apex Hot

profit margin
1/100
35% weight
hidden repair risk
100/100
25% weight
neighborhood trajectory
60/100
25% weight
condition
50/100
15% weight
Beds
3
Baths
2.0
Sqft
1458
Zip
85254

Assigns Condition Tier 1–4 from listing photos (gut / heavy / cosmetic / turnkey). Rehab $ comes from historical tier bands — not photo guessing. Usually ~30–90s.

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