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Rio Rancho, NM Flip MOS Underwriting Tape (87144)

FlipScout underwriting tape for Rio Rancho, NM (87144) — 196 actives, 0 Verified / 39 Modeled. Absorption: Market frozen / inventory backpressure; sold_6m=15 (FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS). Hard Reject % withheld until ≥3 Verified-with-ARV actives — sold liquidity and MOS remain the primary published signals.

Signal Narrative

Rio Rancho, NM (87144) is a FlipScout Goldmine underwriting terminal. Primary signal is sold liquidity: sold_6m=15 (FlipScout DB closings in 6 months — not full MLS), 196 actives on tape. Trusted months of supply = 78.4 mo (Market frozen / inventory backpressure; velocity ≈ 2.5 closings/mo). Honesty mix: 0 Verified / 39 Modeled / 157 Unscored. Hard Reject % and Verified margins are withheld until ≥3 Verified-with-ARV actives — we do not invent ask-tape from Modeled comps. Directional Modeled ask margin median is +7.5% (n=39) — labeled Modeled, not Verified. Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate — stress-test asks on the published QDA stack, or read the fix and flip underwriting method.

Underwriting terminal

Neighborhood tape

As of 2026-07-29T06:38:37Z · Daily snapshot · FlipScout DB · MAO solver Pro

Quant Art

Neighborhood math

Sold liquidity + MOS primary · ask-tape pending Verified depth · 2026-07-29T06:38:37Z · daily snapshot

Absorption dial
78.4 MOS mo

MOS = actives ÷ (sold_6m ÷ 6) = 196 ÷ (15 ÷ 6) = 196 ÷ 2.5

Sold window 6 mo · FlipScout DB coverage, not full MLS · zones 4 / 6 / 12

Sold liquidity stripe
sold_6m 15 actives 196

monthly_velocity = sold_6m / 6 = 15 / 6 = 2.5 closings/mo

Real FlipScout DB solds · refreshed with nightly goldmine tape

Ask-tape status

Verified ask sample too thin for Hard Reject % and Verified margin ladder (need ≥3 Verified-with-ARV). Verified actives: 0.

Modeled actives: 39 · Median Modeled ask margin: +7.5% (directional only — not Verified comps).

This Goldmine still underwrites via sold liquidity + MOS. Hard Reject rates publish when Verified-with-ARV depth clears n≥3.

Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Underwriting method

Absorption / MOS

Market frozen / inventory backpressure

MOS 78.4 mo

sold_6m 15 · actives 196 · High confidence

15 sold in 6 months — solid zip absorption sample.

Total Listings

196

Verified 0 · Modeled 39 · Unscored 157

Median Modeled margin

7.5%

Directional Modeled ask tape · n=39 · not Verified comps

Rehab bands

Verified rehab $/sqft bands need deeper Verified sample.

Verified · condition tier $/sqft

Median Apex

N/A

Insufficient scored Apex sample (0-sentinel excluded)

Trajectory

Stable

Neighborhood enrichment signal

Honesty mix

0.0% Verified

Modeled 19.9% · Unscored 80.1%

List → ARV discount

—

Deep share — · n=—

Hold bleed pressure

—

Banded aggregate · Peak Cash UI Pro

Zero Verified actives — Hard Reject / margin tape withheld (Modeled-only).

Same QDA stack as this Hard Reject rate · Fix & flip underwriting · Deal finder · Absorption regimes

Active inventory

40 shown of 196 actives · streets locked · price / margin / Apex live · median list $473,670 · mix V0/M40/U0

Each row is an underwriting brief at /property/{id} in ZIP 87144. Margins labeled Modeled are directional — not Verified comps.

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PriceMarginApexHonestyListing
$769,0007.5% M53Modeled

Rio Rancho, NM · Modeled listing

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Open brief$600,0007.5% M53Modeled

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Open brief$557,9957.5% M53Modeled

Rio Rancho, NM · Modeled listing

Open brief$550,0007.5% M53Modeled

Rio Rancho, NM · Modeled listing

Open brief$547,9957.5% M53Modeled

Rio Rancho, NM · Modeled listing

Open brief$525,0007.5% M53Modeled

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Open brief$509,9957.5% M53Modeled

Rio Rancho, NM · Modeled listing

Open brief$504,9957.5% M53Modeled

Rio Rancho, NM · Modeled listing

Open brief$502,9957.5% M53Modeled

Rio Rancho, NM · Modeled listing

Open brief$499,9957.5% M53Modeled

Rio Rancho, NM · Modeled listing

Open brief$496,9007.5% M53Modeled

Rio Rancho, NM · Modeled listing

Open brief$487,9957.5% M53Modeled

Rio Rancho, NM · Modeled listing

Open brief$480,0007.5% M53Modeled

Rio Rancho, NM · Modeled listing

Open brief$479,9007.5% M53Modeled

Rio Rancho, NM · Modeled listing

Open brief$467,4407.5% M53Modeled

Rio Rancho, NM · Modeled listing

Open brief$463,3457.5% M53Modeled

Rio Rancho, NM · Modeled listing

Open brief$462,8007.5% M53Modeled

Rio Rancho, NM · Modeled listing

Open brief$450,0007.5% M53Modeled

Rio Rancho, NM · Modeled listing

Open brief$449,0007.5% M53Modeled

Rio Rancho, NM · Modeled listing

Open brief$433,2007.5% M53Modeled

Rio Rancho, NM · Modeled listing

Open brief$424,9257.5% M53Modeled

Rio Rancho, NM · Modeled listing

Open brief$419,0007.5% M53Modeled

Rio Rancho, NM · Modeled listing

Open brief$410,0007.5% M53Modeled

Rio Rancho, NM · Modeled listing

Open brief$407,0007.5% M53Modeled

Rio Rancho, NM · Modeled listing

Open brief$405,0007.5% M53Modeled

Rio Rancho, NM · Modeled listing

Open brief$402,8857.5% M53Modeled

Rio Rancho, NM · Modeled listing

Open brief$399,9997.5% M53Modeled

Rio Rancho, NM · Modeled listing

Open brief$399,9907.5% M53Modeled

Rio Rancho, NM · Modeled listing

Open brief$394,9907.5% M53Modeled

Rio Rancho, NM · Modeled listing

Open brief$389,9907.5% M53Modeled

Rio Rancho, NM · Modeled listing

Open brief$379,0857.5% M53Modeled

Rio Rancho, NM · Modeled listing

Open brief$369,9907.5% M53Modeled

Rio Rancho, NM · Modeled listing

Open brief$365,0007.5% M53Modeled

Rio Rancho, NM · Modeled listing

Open brief$335,0007.5% M53Modeled

Rio Rancho, NM · Modeled listing

Open brief$515,000——Modeled

Rio Rancho, NM · Modeled listing

Open brief

Verified Invest Deals

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PriceMarginApexAddress
No Verified Invest deals yet0 Verified Invest Deals Currently Available — actives are Modeled or unscored; honesty gate withholds the invest feed.

US Goldmine Atlas

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