Bid Check with my reno → — your rehab, stressed Bid $
Street locked · 07307 | $725,000 Flip Analysis — FlipScout
Ask
$725,000
$605/sqft
Bid $
$526,059
Max bid / MAO
Room
~$198,941 over max bid · 27% of ask
vs max bid
Verdict
WALK
Pass at list
Rehab
$86,233
$72/sqft
ARV
$565,218

Clearance (C) — bid physics. C = Bid $ ÷ Ask. We don't mint fake CLEARS. CLEARS · BID TARGET · WALK

Free: tape numbers + 3 Bid Checks/mo. Pro $15/mo: unlimited Bid Checks · streets + Deal Architecture.

Deal Architecture · Pro

Bid $ $526,059 · Ask $725,000

Walk-away max bid is free above — same math as the Bid/Pass Tape. Live waterfall, health, controls, and rehab bands unlock with Pro. We do not show a hollow OUR EDGE with empty dashes.

Flip math

Value-add ARV

ARV = adjusted list + (rehab × 1.5) · zip avm

Implied ARV $/sqft
Subject sqft1198 sqft
ARV$565,218
List− $725,000
Rehab− $86,233
Gross profit$-246,015

Contextual market baseline

Sold comps for neighborhood context — not the ARV formula · 3 sales · last 6 mo · zip 07307

Street locked · 07307 · CONDOS $804,000 · 1274 sqft
Street locked · 07307 · SINGLE_FAMILY $850,000 · 1280 sqft
Street locked · 07307 · CONDOS $775,000 · 1286 sqft

Net pro forma

Includes closing costs & 3.7-month carry

Buy closing (2%)$14,500
Holding carry$27,514
All-in capital$853,247
Sell costs (6%)− $33,913
Net proceeds$531,305
Net profit $-112,564
Photo triage & rehab band

Condition triage

Library estimate

No contractor assessment on file for this listing.

ML baseline rehab: $86,233

Baseline notes

Investor scope checklist

  • Kitchen cabinets/counters are primary value-add
  • Flooring and paint drive resale perception
  • Exterior curb appeal strongly impacts ARV
  • Mechanicals assumed functional; verify on inspection

Renovation budget

Total: $86,233
Kitchen — Full Replacement $48,000
Bathroom — Full Renovation $18,000
Interior Paint (1,198 sqft × $3.00) $3,594
Flooring — Hardwood Refinish (1,198 sqft × $4.50) $5,391
Contingency (15%) $11,248

Rehab from historical Condition Tier $/sqft band × subject sqft — not vision-invented GC quotes. Verify with a licensed contractor before closing.

Neighborhood & Apex

Trajectory: Declining

07307 (07307) signals softer conditions: margins ~0.9%, DOM ~45 days, avg price drops ~0.0. Tighten ARV and rehab assumptions.

Apex breakdown

Threshold 85+ = Apex Hot

profit margin
0/100
35% weight
hidden repair risk
100/100
25% weight
neighborhood trajectory
20/100
25% weight
condition
50/100
15% weight
Beds
3
Baths
2.0
Sqft
1198
Zip
07307

Assigns Condition Tier 1–4 from listing photos (gut / heavy / cosmetic / turnkey). Rehab $ comes from historical tier bands — not photo guessing. Usually ~30–90s.

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Same zip or nearby price band — Bid/Pass Tape rows

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